A computationally efficient approach for the design of population pharmacokinetic studies

A computationally efficient procedure was devised for designing experiments in which population pharmacokinetic parameters are estimated. The method, referred to as the large-sample approach, evaluates the variances of parameter estimates for a population pharmacostatistical model. The procedure utilizes the NONMEM program and requires a single simulation that assumes many, say 1000, subjects. The approach reduced CPU time by about a factor of 50 when compared with the evaluation of the same variances by the direct simulation of experiments. The large-sample and simulation approaches yielded generally similar values for the variances of parameter estimates. The variances calculated by the large-sample approach were, in the case of a simple model, close to the expected variances. The proposed method identified correctly the imprecise parameter estimates but somewhat underestimated their variances.This work was supported by the Medical Research Council of Canada.