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Body mass index associated with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) progression in Olmsted County,Minnesota
Authors:Geffen Kleinstern  Dirk R Larson  Cristine Allmer  Aaron D Norman  Grace Muntifering  Jason Sinnwell  Alissa Visram  Vincent Rajkumar  Angela Dispenzieri  Robert A Kyle  Susan L Slager  Shaji Kumar  Celine M Vachon
Institution:1.School of Public Health, University of Haifa, Haifa, Israel ;2.Department of Quantitative Health Sciences, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN USA ;3.University of Wisconsin, La Crosse, WI USA ;4.Department of Medicine, Division of Hematology, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN USA ;5.The Ottawa Hospital, Ottawa Hospital Research Institute, Ottawa, ON Canada
Abstract:Monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS) is a premalignant clonal disorder that progresses to multiple myeloma (MM), or other plasma-cell or lymphoid disorders at a rate of 1%/year. We evaluate the contribution of body mass index (BMI) to MGUS progression beyond established clinical factors in a population-based study. We identified 594 MGUS through a population-based screening study in Olmsted County, Minnesota, between 1995 and 2003. Follow-up time was calculated from the date of MGUS to last follow-up, death, or progression to MM/another plasma-cell/lymphoid disorder. BMI (kg/m2 < 25/≥25) was measured close to screening date. We used Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the association of BMI ≥ 25 versus BMI < 25 with MGUS progression and also evaluated the corresponding c-statistic and 95% CI to describe discrimination of the model for MGUS progression. Median follow-up was 10.5 years (range:0–25), while 465 patients died and 57 progressed and developed MM (N = 39), AL amyloidosis (N = 8), lymphoma (N = 5), or Waldenstrom-macroglobulinemia (N = 5). In univariate analyses, BMI ≥ 25 (HR = 2.14,CI:1.05–4.36, P = 0.04), non-IgG (HR = 2.84, CI:1.68–4.80, P = 0.0001), high monoclonal (M) protein (HR = 2.57, CI:1.50–4.42, P = 0.001), and abnormal free light chain ratio (FLCr) (HR = 3.39, CI:1.98–5.82, P < 0.0001) were associated with increased risk of MGUS progression, and were independently associated in a multivariable model (c-statistic = 0.75, CI:0.68–0.82). The BMI association was stronger among females (HR = 3.55, CI:1.06–11.9, P = 0.04) vs. males (HR = 1.39, CI:0.57–3.36, P = 0.47), although the interaction between BMI and sex was not significant (P = 0.15). In conclusion, high BMI is a prognostic factor for MGUS progression, independent of isotype, M protein, and FLCr. This association may be stronger among females.Subject terms: Risk factors, Cancer
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