High intrapatient variability of tacrolimus exposure associated with poorer outcomes in liver transplantation

Tacrolimus (TAC) is a dose‐dependent immunosuppressor with considerable intrapatient variability (IPV) in its pharmacokinetics. The aim of this work is to ascertain the association between TAC IPV at 6 months after liver transplantation (LT) and patient outcome. This single‐center cohort study retrospectively analyzed adult patients who underwent transplantation from 2015 to 2019 who survived the first 6 months with a functioning graft. The primary end point was the patient’s probability of death and the secondary outcome was the loss of renal function between month 6 and the last follow‐up. TAC IPV was estimated by calculating the coefficient of variation (CV) of the dose‐corrected concentration (C₀/D) between the third and sixth months post‐LT. Of the 140 patients who underwent LT included in the study, the low‐variability group (C₀/D CV < 27%) comprised 105 patients and the high‐variability group (C₀/D CV ≥ 27%) 35 patients. One‐, 3‐, and 5‐year patient survival rates were 100%, 82%, and 72% in the high‐variability group versus 100%, 97%, and 93% in the low‐variability group, respectively (p = 0.005). Moreover, significant impaired renal function was observed in the high‐variability group at 1 year (69 ± 16 ml/min/1.73 m² vs. 78 ± 16 ml/min/1.73 m², p = 0.004) and at 2 years post‐LT (69 ± 17 ml/min/1.73 m² vs. 77 ± 15 ml/min/1.73 m², p = 0.03). High C₀/D CV 3–6 months remained independently associated with worse survival (hazard ratio = 3.57, 95% CI = 1.32–9.67, p = 0.012) and loss of renal function (odds ratio = 3.47, 95% CI = 1.30–9.20, p = 0.01). Therefore, high IPV between the third and sixth months appears to be an early and independent predictor of patients with poorer liver transplant outcomes.

Abbreviations

BPAR

Biopsy proven acute rejection

BMI

Body mass index

CKD‐EPI

chronic kidney disease epidemiology collaboration

CV

coefficient of variation

C₀/D

dose‐corrected concentration

CMV

cytomegalovirus

eGFR

estimated glomerular filtration rate

HR

hazard ratio

HCC

hepatocellular carcinoma

ICU

intensive care unit

IPV

intrapatient variability

i.v.

intravenously

LC–MS/MS

liquid chromatography‐ tandem mass spectrometry

LT

liver transplantation

MELD

model for end‐stage liver disease

MMF

mycophenolate mofetil

NASH

Non‐Alcoholic Steatohepatitis

OR

odds ratio

PCR

polymerase chain reaction

SD

Standard Deviation

TAC

tacrolimus

3–6 M

three–six months

Study Highlights

• WHAT IS THE CURRENT KNOWLEDGE ON THE TOPIC?

There is high intrapatient variability of tacrolimus and its correlation with liver transplantation (LT) outcomes.

• WHAT QUESTION DID THIS STUDY ADDRESS?

Could the intrapatient variability of tacrolimus between months 3 and 6 post‐LT be a potential prognostic tool for poor outcomes?

• WHAT DOES THIS STUDY ADD TO OUR KNOWLEDGE?

Those patients with dose‐corrected concentration coefficient of variation greater than or equal to 27% between months 3 and 6 post‐LT have worst overall survival and impaired renal function.

• HOW MIGHT THIS CHANGE CLINICAL PHARMACOLOGY OR TRANSLATIONAL SCIENCE?

If we promptly identify those patients, a closer therapeutic drug monitoring program should be imperative with the possibility to make therapeutic interventions to improve outcomes.