| 农村卫技人员数量变化特征和发展趋势研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 李雪芳,龚幼龙,陈启明,陈育德.农村卫技人员数量变化特征和发展趋势研究[J].中国卫生资源,1998,1(1):29-31. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李雪芳 龚幼龙 陈启明 陈育德 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海医科大学!200032(李雪芳，龚幼龙，陈启明)，国家卫生部统计信息中心!100725(陈育德) |
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| 基金项目： | 卫Ⅳ项目，世界银行的资助 |
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| 摘 要： | 文章依据1949－1996年全国农村卫技人员数量的统计资料，经过定性分析和数据的重对数模型及其推广形式的曲线拟合，建立了农村每千人口卫技人员配置的量化模型；在此基础上，预测了今后14年内我国农村每千人口卫技人员数量的发展趋势，作为制定农村卫技人员配置标准的参考；并结合1993年全国卫生服务总调查和1995年福建、安徽、贵州省的卫生人力数据库资料的分析，探讨了研究结果的分类指导价值。
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| 关 键 词： | 农村 卫技人员 广义重对数模型 |
The characteristics and trends of change in the number of health workers in rural China |
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| Li Xuefang,Gong Youlong, Chen Qiming , Chen Yude,.The characteristics and trends of change in the number of health workers in rural China[J].Chinese Health Resources,1998,1(1):29-31. |
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| Authors: | Li Xuefang Gong Youlong Chen Qiming Chen Yude |
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| Abstract: | The generalized log-log model was given as a quantitative tool of allocating health workers in rural China. The modelwas established by curve fitting of the data in the national health statistical report from 1949 to1996. Based on the data and by usingthe model , the authors forecasted the number of health workers per thousand people in rural China in the next 14 years. The resultscan provide an important therence for identifying the staffing need standard of the number of health workers in rural China. The paperalso discussed the directing significance of the results in definig the numbre of health workers in different socioeconomic rural areas byanalyzing the data in the national health service urvey of 1993 and the health manpower database of 145 counties in Fujian, Anhuiand Guizhou province in 1995. |
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| Keywords: | Rural Health workers Generalized log-log model |
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