| Abstract: | Global climate change is driving species poleward and upward in high-latitude regions, but the extent to which the biodiverse tropics are similarly affected is poorly known due to a scarcity of historical records. In 1802, Alexander von Humboldt ascended the Chimborazo volcano in Ecuador. He recorded the distribution of plant species and vegetation zones along its slopes and in surrounding parts of the Andes. We revisited Chimborazo in 2012, precisely 210 y after Humboldt’s expedition. We documented upward shifts in the distribution of vegetation zones as well as increases in maximum elevation limits of individual plant taxa of >500 m on average. These range shifts are consistent with increased temperatures and glacier retreat on Chimborazo since Humboldt’s study. Our findings provide evidence that global warming is strongly reshaping tropical plant distributions, consistent with Humboldt’s proposal that climate is the primary control on the altitudinal distribution of vegetation.The biological impacts of ongoing climate change (1) are already apparent in species’ poleward and upslope range shifts and earlier spring events (2–9). However, most studies stem from high-latitude areas and are generally restricted to dynamics across the past few decades (10). To our knowledge, only three previous resurveys have studied range shifts of tropical plant taxa, all at <4,000 m in elevation (7, 8, 11). Modeling (12) and paleoecological studies (13) suggest that tropical montane vegetation should be highly sensitive to climate change. However, researchers strongly debate whether tropical plants are tracking warming temperatures along elevation gradients, with most (although scarce) studies indicating they are lagging behind (cf. 14, 15). Such lags could have negative effects on the distributions of species dependent on certain plant taxa, e.g., as a food source (16). The question is particularly urgent given the growing evidence of systematically stronger warming rates in high-mountain environments (17).The legacy and works of Alexander von Humboldt (1769–1859) not only constitute the foundation of biogeography, but also what is likely the oldest dataset on altitudinal ranges of plant species. The observations recorded by Humboldt and Aimé Bonpland (1773–1858) during their travels in Central and South America, and synthesized in a Tableau of Mt. Chimborazo (summit 6,268 m above sea level) and accompanying essay (18), provide a unique opportunity to study tropical vegetation changes over a period of 210 y. To our knowledge, this period is more than twice as long as any previous resurvey study based on historical biodiversity records (11, 19). We revisited the upper slopes of the Chimborazo volcano in June 2012. Our aim was to record the current elevational distribution of plants and test for upward shifts since Humboldt’s expedition, as a response to anthropogenic global warming. We sampled plant species presence and abundance along transects every 100 m of elevation between 3,800 and 5,200 m. Three main findings, comparing our surveys to Humboldt’s data, support strong upward shifts of plant distributions: a higher upper limit for plant growth, increased elevation of vegetation zones, and upward shifts in the upper range limits of most individual taxa. |
