德尔菲法在药学领域中的应用概述

摘 要德尔菲法是一种通过向专家进行几轮咨询, 获得专家一致性意见的预测方法,具有匿名性、信息反馈性和对结果进行统计分析三大特点。随着该方法的不断发展，其应用领域日趋扩大，从最初的社会学发展为临床医学、心理学、护理学等，药学与临床医学密切不可分割，德尔菲法在药学领域的应用成为药学研究的新方向，为药学法规制定、药品风险评估、临床药学的发展提供新的研究方法。本文对目前国内外德尔菲法在药学领域中的应用进行了总结和概述，以期为药学发展提供新的思路。

Application of Delphi Method in Pharmacy

ABSTRACT Delphi method is a kind of forecasting method with several rounds of consultation with experts. It has three major characteristics including anonymity, information feedback and statistical analysis of results. With the continuous development of the method, its application fields is widened from the initial development of sociology to clinical medicine, psychology, nursing and so on. Since pharmacy and clinical medicine is inseparable, Delphi method used in pharmacy field has become the new direction of pharmaceutical research, and it can provide a new method for the pharmaceutical regulations, medical risk assessment and development of clinical pharmacy. In the paper, the application of Delphi method in the field of pharmacy was summarized in order to provide new ideas for the development of pharmacy.