A cohort study of reproductive factors and family history of breast cancer in southern Sweden

Background. Studies have been contradictory regarding the hypothesis that reproductive risk factors of breast cancer as parity and age at first full-term pregnancy (AFFP) operate differently in women with and without a family history of breast cancer.Methods. The overall tumour incidence and breast cancer incidence related to fertility factors were followed in a population based cohort of 29,508 women aged 25–65 when interviewed between 1990 and 1992 in south Sweden. At the end of the follow up in December 1999, the cohort constituted 226,611 person years. The risk of breast cancer in relation to reproductive factors were studied in women with at least one first degree relative with breast cancer and compared with women without a family history.Findings. A total of 1145 malignant tumours were seen and 1166.6 were expected (SIR = 0.98, 95% CI = 0.93–1.04). Slightly more breast cancer cases were seen 434 than expected 387.69 (SIR = 1.12, 95% CI = 1.02–1.23). A family history of breast cancer among a first degree relative was present in 1615 women. Forty-five breast cancers were seen among these women while 24.27 was expectecd (SIR = 1.85, 95% CI = 1.35–2.48). Nulliparous women with a family history of breast cancer had a higher risk of breast cancer, SIR = 1.76, 95% CI = 0.64–3.82, compared with nulliparous women without a family history, SIR = 1.13, 95% CI 0.99–1.29. Similarly women with parity 1–2 with a family history had a higher SIR = 1.81, 95% CI = 1.16–2.69 compared with women without a family history having 1–2 children, SIR = 1.13, 95% CI = 0.99–1.29. In women with 3 children those with a family history continued to have a high SIR = 1.98, 95% CI = 1.11–3.27 compared with women without a family history SIR = 0.90, 95% CI = 0.73–1.09. An early full-term pregnancy was protective in both groups. A higher risk than nulliparous women were seen after age 25 in the family history group and after age 30 in the sporadic cancer group.Interpretation. Women with a first degree family history of breast cancer do not experience the same protection from a high number of pregnancies as women without a family history. However, an early first full-term pregnancy seems to offer a substantial protection in the family history group if undertaken before age 20. This suggest that reproductive factors tend to operate differently in the two groups of women.