Predictors of 3-year mortality in subjects over 95 years of age. The nonasantfeliu study |
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| Authors: | Francese Formiga A Ferrer A Montero D Chivite R Pujol |
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| Institution: | 1. Geriatric Unit, Hospital Universitari de Bellvitge, L’Hospitalet de Llobregat, 08907, Barcelona, Spain
2. Primary Health Care Centre “El Plà” CAP -I, Sant Feliu de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain
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| Abstract: | Objectives To examine the survival rates of subjects aged 95 or over after a follow-up period of 3 years, and to determine predictive factors for mortality risk. Design A prospective cohort study. Setting A community-based study. Participants Forty-eight subjects aged 95 or over. Measurements Sociodemographic data, Barthel Index, Lawton-Brody Index, Spanish version of the Mini-Mental State Examination, short version of the Mini Nutritional Assessment, comorbidity (Charlson Index), and prevalent chronic diseases were evaluated. Patients who died were compared with the rest. Results Thirty-six deaths (75%) were recorded during follow-up. The Cox multivariate analysis showed that lower Barthel Index scores and a history of heart failure were independently associated with long-term mortality. Conclusions In subjects aged 95 or over, poor functional status and history of heart failure were the two independent risk factors for 3-year mortality. |
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