Long-term assessment of posttransplant renal prognosis with 31 P magnetic resonance spectroscopy.

BACKGROUND: 31P-magnetic resonance spectroscopy (MRS) has been widely used to study pretransplantation renal viability, and although some had discussed posttransplant renal viability, no one has examined long-term posttransplant renal prognosis. We discuss the use of 31P-MRS to assess the long-term prognosis from the time when MRS was performed. METHODS: We studied 20 patients with renal allografts. 1.5 Tesla clinical magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and 15 cm surface coil was used for 31P-MRS. Localized 31P-MRS was done using image selected in vivo spectroscopy (ISIS) method. Individual peaks were fitted by Lorenzian line-shapes with a least square method and peak area ratios were calculated. RESULTS: A beta-adenosine triphosphate/inorganic phosphate (beta-ATP/Pi) ratio >1.2 had sensitivity of 92.8%, specificity of 100%, and accuracy of 95% for predicting 3-year renal survival; a beta-ATP/Pi ratio >1.2 had sensitivity of 90.9%, specificity of 66.7%, and accuracy of 76.9% for predicting 5-year renal survival. We compared 31P-MRS spectra data between the survived group and failed group. The survived group had significantly higher beta-ATP/Pi, alpha-ATP/Pi, and phosphodiester (PDE)/Pi ratios than the failed group. CONCLUSIONS: We discussed the beta-ATP/Pi value as a parameter for predicting long-term survival of a transplanted kidney from the time when MRS was performed. A value above 1.2 suggests a high probability of 3-year renal survival, whereas a value over 2.5 indicates that the transplanted kidney could survive over 5 years. 31P-MRS may be useful for predicting long-term survival of transplanted kidneys, but additional studies are needed.