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Elevation of CA19-9 and CEA is associated with a poor prognosis in patients with resectable gallbladder carcinoma
Authors:Zhijian Wen  Anfeng Si  Jue Yang  Pinghua Yang  Xinwei Yang  Hu Liu  Xingzhou Yan  Wengang Li  Baohua Zhang
Affiliation:1. Department of Biliary Tract Surgery, The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China;2. Department of Hepatobiliary Pancreatic Vascular Surgery, No. 174 Hospital of PLA, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China;3. Department of Hepatic Surgery IV, The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
Abstract:

Aims

The aim of this study was to determine whether a combination of the tumour markers carcinoembryonic (CEA) and carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA19-9) would be helpful in predicting the prognosis of patients with gallbladder carcinoma (GBC) who underwent resection.

Methods

A retrospective analysis of clinico-pathological features and survival of 390 patients with GBC who were treated between January 2003 and December 2013. Time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) was used to evaluate the prognostic ability of tumour markers. Combinations of preoperative CEA and CA19-9 were tested as potential prognostic factors.

Results

The evaluation of preoperative CEA and CA19-9 showed that patients with both tumour markers within the normal range had the best prognosis with a median survival of 27 months and R0 rate of 86%. Patients with both tumour markers elevated had the poorest prognosis and lower R0 rate (p < 0.001). The combination of CEA and CA19-9 was an independent risk factor for overall survival. The AUROC at 5 years of combination of CEA and CA19-9 was 0.798, which was similar to CEA (0.765) or CA19-9 (0.771) alone (p = 0.103, p = 0.147).

Conclusions

A combination of an elevated preoperative CEA and CA19-9 was associated with a worse prognosis for patients with GBC who underwent resection.
Keywords:Correspondence: Baohua Zhang   Department of Biliary Tract Surgery   The Eastern Hepatobiliary Surgery Hospital   Second Military Medical University   225 Changhai Road   Shanghai   200433   China.
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