Mixing patterns and the spread of close-contact infectious diseases |
| |
Authors: | WJ Edmunds G Kafatos J Wallinga JR Mossong |
| |
Institution: | (1) Statistics, Modelling and Bioinformatics Department, Health Protection Agency Centre for Infections, 61 Colindale Avenue, London, NW9 5EQ, UK;(2) Department of Infectious Diseases Epidemiology, National Institute of Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), PO Box 1, 3720 BA Bilthoven, The Netherlands;(3) Laboratoire National de Sant, P.O. Box 1102, L-1011, Luxembourg |
| |
Abstract: | Surprisingly little is known regarding the human mixing patterns relevant to the spread of close-contact infections, such
as measles, influenza and meningococcal disease. This study aims to estimate the number of partnerships that individuals make,
their stability and the degree to which mixing is assortative with respect to age. We defined four levels of putative at-risk
events from casual (physical contact without conversation) to intimate (contact of a sexual nature), and asked university
student volunteers to record details on those they contacted at these levels on three separate days. We found that intimate
contacts are stable over short time periods whereas there was no evidence of repeat casual contacts with the same individuals.
The contacts were increasingly assortative as intimacy increased. Such information will aid the development and parameterisation
of models of close contact diseases, and may have direct use in outbreak investigations. |
| |
Keywords: | |
本文献已被 SpringerLink 等数据库收录! |
|