2022年1月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估 |
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引用本文: | 任小凡,涂文校,李超,杨佳璎,任婧寰,黄晓霞,冯晔囡,王晓琪,孟玲,魏依侬,向妮娟,施国庆. 2022年1月中国大陆需关注的突发公共卫生事件风险评估[J]. 疾病监测, 2022, 37(1): 7-11. DOI: 10.3784/jbjc.202201250017 |
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作者姓名: | 任小凡 涂文校 李超 杨佳璎 任婧寰 黄晓霞 冯晔囡 王晓琪 孟玲 魏依侬 向妮娟 施国庆 |
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作者单位: | 1.上海市虹口区疾病预防控制中心, 上海 200082 |
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摘 要: | 目的 评估2022年1月在我国大陆地区发生或者可能由境外输入的突发公共卫生事件风险。 方法 根据国内外突发公共卫生事件报告及重点传染病监测等各种资料和部门通报信息,采用专家会商法,并通过视频会议形式邀请省(自治区、直辖市)疾病预防控制中心专家参与评估。 结果 预计1月突发公共卫生事件报告数可能将较2021年12月有所下降。 因境外新型冠状病毒肺炎(新冠肺炎)疫情输入导致本土疫情发生及传播扩散风险很高,在春运和冬奥会的背景下,新冠肺炎疫情防控则面临更大压力,各地需要按照国家要求加强疫情防控工作;人感染禽流感可能继续发现散发病例;近期南北方省份流感活动高峰还会持续,预计1月底会有所下降;肾综合征出血热目前已进入冬季发病高峰时期;根据往年非职业性一氧化碳中毒报告趋势,预计1月仍持续高发。 结论 特别关注新冠肺炎,一般关注人感染禽流感、季节性流感、肾综合征出血热以及非职业性一氧化碳中毒。
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关 键 词: | 突发公共卫生事件 传染病疫情 风险评估 |
收稿时间: | 2022-01-26 |
Risk assessment of public health emergencies concerned in the mainland of China,January 2022 |
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Affiliation: | 1.Hongkou District Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shanghai 200082, China2.Public Health Emergency Center, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China3.National Institute for Viral Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 102206, China4.National Immunization Programme, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China |
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Abstract: | Objective To assess the risk of public health emergencies, both the indigenous ones and the imported ones, which might occur in the mainland of China in January 2022. Methods An internet based expert counsel was conducted to analyze the surveillance data of public health emergencies and priority communicable diseases in China reported through different channels, and the experts in all provincial centers for disease control and prevention attended this video conference. Results It is expected that public health emergency events in January 2022 would be slightly lower than in December 2021. The high risk of COVID-19 indigenous transmission caused by foreign importation maintains, and the pressure of epidemic prevention and control will be even greater during Spring Festival rush and Winter Olympic Games. Local governments need to strengthen epidemic prevention and control in accordance with national requirements. Sporadic human cases of avian influenza may continue to be detected. The recent peak of influenza activity in northern and southern provinces will continue, and it is expected to decrease by the end of January. Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome has entered its peak period in winter. According to the trend of non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning reports in previous years, the high incidence is expected to continue in January. Conclusion Special attention should be paid to COVID-19. General attentions should be paid to human infection with avian influenza, seasonal influenza, hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome and non-occupational carbon monoxide poisoning. |
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