| 灰色模型在贵州省卫生资源预测上的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 黄文涌.灰色模型在贵州省卫生资源预测上的应用[J].贵阳医学院学报,1991,16(4):366-369. |
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| 作者姓名： | 黄文涌 |
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| 作者单位： | 贵阳医学院卫生统计学教研室 |
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| 摘 要： | 本文应用GM(1,1)模型对贵州省卫生资源进行预测,取得了较好的预测结果。模型对原始数据的拟合也较好,平均相对误差在0.48％～2.7％之间。我们还预测了1990～2000年间贵州省卫生资源的发展趋势,有一定可行性。因此,该模型是一个有效的预测工具。
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| 关 键 词： | 卫生资源 预测 灰色模型 |
Application of the Grey Model in forecasting of the Health Resources of Guizhou Province |
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| Huang Wenyong Dapartment of Health Statistics.Application of the Grey Model in forecasting of the Health Resources of Guizhou Province[J].Journal of Guiyang Medical College,1991,16(4):366-369. |
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| Authors: | Huang Wenyong Dapartment of Health Statistics |
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| Institution: | Huang Wenyong Dapartment of Health Statistics |
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| Abstract: | The sanitarian resources in Guizhou Province were predicted using Grey Dynamic Model (1,1). The data showed that the predicted result was good. The model had a good fitting effect for the primary data. The range of average relative error of fitting was from 0.48%to 2.7%. The developing trend of the sanitarian resources from 1990 to 2000 was predicted. We consider that the result of the prediction is practicable, and the model is a valuable tool for prediction. |
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| Keywords: | health resources forecasting grey model |
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