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Predictors of left main or three-vessel disease in patients who have acute coronary syndromes with non-ST-segment elevation
Authors:Kosuge Masami  Kimura Kazuo  Ishikawa Toshiyuki  Ebina Toshiaki  Shimizu Tomoaki  Hibi Kiyoshi  Toda Noritaka  Tahara Yoshio  Tsukahara Kengo  Kanna Masahiko  Okuda Jyunn  Nozawa Naoki  Ozaki Hiroyuki  Yano Hideto  Umemura Satoshi
Institution:The Division of Cardiology, Yokohama City University Medical Center, Yokohama, Japan.
Abstract:To identify an early, simple, noninvasive predictor of left main (LM) or 3-vessel disease (3-VD), we retrospectively studied clinical variables on admission in 310 patients with acute coronary syndromes with non-ST-segment elevation. Univariate analysis indicated that many factors were related to LM/3-VD. Multivariate analysis showed that ST-segment elevation in lead aVR of >/=0.5 mm was the strongest predictor of LM/3-VD, followed by positive troponin T (odds ratio 19.7, p <0.001, and odds ratio 3.08, p = 0.048, respectively). ST-segment elevation in lead aVR of >/=0.5 mm and positive troponin T identified LM/3-VD with sensitivities of 78% and 62%, specificities of 86% and 59%, positive predictive values of 57% and 26%, and negative predictive values of 95% and 87%, respectively (p <0.05). Our findings suggest that in patients with non-ST-segment elevation acute coronary syndromes, ST-segment elevation in lead aVR of >/=0.5 mm and positive troponin T on admission (especially the former) are useful predictors of LM/3-VD.
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