Prognosis after recovery from first acute myocardial infarction: determinants of reinfarction and sudden death

Factors associated with total cardiac mortality, sudden cardiac death and reinfarction were studied in 325 male survivors aged younger than 60 years of age (mean 50) of a first myocardial infarction (MI). All patients had undergone exercise testing and cineangiocardiography 4 weeks after MI, 24% underwent coronary artery surgery and 30% received beta-blocking therapy. Patients were followed 1 to 6 years (mean 3.5). Total cardiac mortality was best predicted by the left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction (EF) and by a coronary prognostic index. In contrast, neither the severity of coronary arterial lesions measured with a scoring system nor the results of the exercise test gave significant prediction of mortality. Of the 2 major late sequelae of MI, reinfarction could not be predicted by any clinical or cineangiocardiographic variable. However, sudden death not associated with reinfarction was significantly more common (p less than 0.001) when EF was less than or equal to 40% than when it was greater than 40%. Comparison of patients with an EF less than or equal to 40% who did or did not die suddenly showed that LV dilation (high volumes at ventriculography) was an added risk factor, but the extent of coronary occlusions and stenoses was not. It is concluded that, at least for groups of patients treated with standard modern methods after MI, the main determinant of medium-term survival is the extent of LV damage. The state of the coronary arteries and the presence of ischemic myocardium during exercise are only of secondary importance for survival.