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中国居民2013年酒精归因死亡及对期望寿命影响的分析
引用本文:姜莹莹,刘世炜,吉宁,曾新颖,刘韫宁,张梅,王丽敏,李镒冲,周脉耕.中国居民2013年酒精归因死亡及对期望寿命影响的分析[J].中华流行病学杂志,2018,39(1):27-31.
作者姓名:姜莹莹  刘世炜  吉宁  曾新颖  刘韫宁  张梅  王丽敏  李镒冲  周脉耕
作者单位:100050 北京, 中国疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病预防控制中心综合防控与评价室,100050 北京, 中国疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病预防控制中心综合防控与评价室,100050 北京, 中国疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病预防控制中心健康促进与行为干预室,100050 北京, 中国疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病预防控制中心综合防控与评价室,100050 北京, 中国疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病预防控制中心生命登记与死因监测室,100050 北京, 中国疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病预防控制中心监测室,100050 北京, 中国疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病预防控制中心监测室,100191 北京大学临床研究所,100050 北京, 中国疾病预防控制中心慢性非传染性疾病预防控制中心
基金项目:国家科技支撑计划(2013BAI04B02)
摘    要:目的 分析2013年中国居民饮酒归因死亡和期望寿命损失情况。方法 利用2013年中国居民死因监测和中国慢性病及其危险因素监测数据,通过计算人群归因分值估计饮酒造成的死亡及其对期望寿命的影响。结果 2013年中国居民饮酒导致死亡人数为38.12万,同时避免了7.65万人死亡。饮酒导致死亡最多的为出血性脑卒中(9.71万)、肝癌(8.82万)、肝硬化(6.14万)和食道癌(4.87万),避免了6.85万缺血性心脏病、0.49万缺血性脑卒中和0.31万糖尿病可能造成的死亡。饮酒给我国居民造成0.43岁的预期寿命损失。若避免饮酒,西部地区居民获益最多,期望寿命能增加0.52岁,高于东部和中部地区(0.12岁);农村地区人群期望寿命增加0.48岁,高于城市地区(0.31岁)。结论 尽管饮酒对降低缺血性心脏病和脑卒中以及糖尿病死亡具有一定的保护作用,但总体而言,饮酒仍然是影响中国居民死亡和期望寿命损失的重要危险因素,有必要针对过量饮酒带来的健康问题提出应对措施。

关 键 词:饮酒  归因死亡  期望寿命
收稿时间:2017/6/1 0:00:00

Deaths attributable to alcohol use and its impact on life expectancy in China, 2013
Jiang Yingying,Liu Shiwei,Ji Ning,Zeng Xinying,Liu Yunning,Zhang Mei,Wang Limin,Li Yichong and Zhou Maigeng.Deaths attributable to alcohol use and its impact on life expectancy in China, 2013[J].Chinese Journal of Epidemiology,2018,39(1):27-31.
Authors:Jiang Yingying  Liu Shiwei  Ji Ning  Zeng Xinying  Liu Yunning  Zhang Mei  Wang Limin  Li Yichong and Zhou Maigeng
Institution:Division of Comprehensive Prevention and Evaluation, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China,Division of Comprehensive Prevention and Evaluation, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China,Division of Health Promotion and Intervention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China,Division of Comprehensive Prevention and Evaluation, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China,Division of Vital Registry and Mortality Surveillance, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China,Division of NCD Surveillance, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China,Division of NCD Surveillance, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China,National Center for Chronic and Non-communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China; Peking University Clinical Research Institute, Beijing 100191, China and National Center for Chronic and Non-communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing 100050, China
Abstract:Objective To analyze the deaths attributable to alcohol use and its impact on people''s life expectancy in China in 2013. Methods The mortality data from the Disease Surveillance Points System and alcohol use data from China Chronic Disease Surveillance (2013) were used. The deaths attributed to alcohol use and its impact on the life expectancy of Chinese residents were estimated based on the principle of comparative risk assessment by calculating population attributable fraction. Results In 2013, alcohol use resulted in 381 200 deaths, including 97 100 hemorrhagic stroke deaths, 88 200 liver cancer deaths, 61 400 liver cirrhosis deaths and 48 700 esophageal cancer deaths, and prevented 76 500 deaths, including 68 500, 4 900 and 3 100 deaths which might be caused by ischemic heart disease, hemorrhagic stroke and diabetes respectively. If risk factor of alcohol use is removed, the people''s life expectancy would rise by an average of 0.43 years, especially in western China by 0.52 years, which was 0.12 years higher than that in eastern and central China, and the life expectancy of the population in rural and urban areas would rise by 0.48 years and 0.31 years respectively. Conclusions Although alcohol has a protective effect on reducing ischemic heart disease, stroke and diabetes deaths, alcohol use is still a risk factor influencing the mortality and life expectancy of residents in China. It is necessary to take targeted measures to reduce the health problems caused by harmful use of alcohol.
Keywords:Alcohol use  Attributed death  Life expectancy
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