| 应用时间序列方法分析菌痢季节性分布特性 |
| |
| 引用本文： | 林启辉. 应用时间序列方法分析菌痢季节性分布特性[J]. 实用预防医学, 2005, 12(6): 1331-1333 |
| |
| 作者姓名： | 林启辉 |
| |
| 作者单位： | 深圳市宝安区观澜预防保健所,广东,深圳,518110 |
| |
| 摘 要： | 目的 分析菌痢是否存在季节性周期分布特征，为研究致病因素、考核防治措施提供科学依据。方法 对构成双向有序列联表时间序列数据的深圳市宝安区1993-2004年菌痢逐月发病资料，利用游程检验和有序对数比检验两种不同统计方法进行季节性分布分析。结果 游程检验示P〈O．05，有序对数比检验示P〉0．05。结论 两种方法所得结果具有一致性，菌痢发病具有季节性升高的特征。
|
| 关 键 词： | 细菌性痢疾 游程检验 有序对数比检验 |
| 文章编号： | 1006-3110（2005）06-1331-03 |
| 收稿时间： | 2005-10-08 |
| 修稿时间： | 2005-10-08 |
Application of Time - series Method to Analyze Seasonal Distribution of Bacillary Dysentery.Incidence |
| |
| LIN Qi-hui. Application of Time - series Method to Analyze Seasonal Distribution of Bacillary Dysentery.Incidence[J]. Practical Preventive Medicine, 2005, 12(6): 1331-1333 |
| |
| Authors: | LIN Qi-hui |
| |
| Affiliation: | Insti- tute for Disease Control and Prevention of Guanlan, Shenzhen 518110, Guangdong |
| |
| Abstract: | Objective To analyze the data of bacillary dysentery incidences that were constituted to time-series and the two-ordered contingency table in Baoan District from 1993 to 2004.Methods Two different kinds of statistical methods of run-test and ordered-log-ratio test were applied to study the characteristics of seasonal distribution. Results Run-test and ordered-log-ratio test showed that the results were significant(P<0.05,P>0.05).Conclusion Consistent conclusion was obtained to show that there appeared an obvious seasonal cyclic characteristic every year for the incidence of bacillary dysentery. |
| |
| Keywords: | Bacillary Dysentery Run Test Ordered-log-ratio Test |
| 本文献已被 CNKI 维普 万方数据 等数据库收录！ |
