| Abstract: | In the Ashkenazi Jewish (AJ) population of Israel, 11% of breast cancer and 40% of ovarian cancer are due to three inherited founder mutations in the cancer predisposition genes BRCA1 and BRCA2. For carriers of these mutations, risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy significantly reduces morbidity and mortality. Population screening for these mutations among AJ women may be justifiable if accurate estimates of cancer risk for mutation carriers can be obtained. We therefore undertook to determine risks of breast and ovarian cancer for BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutation carriers ascertained irrespective of personal or family history of cancer. Families harboring mutations in BRCA1 or BRCA2 were ascertained by identifying mutation carriers among healthy AJ males recruited from health screening centers and outpatient clinics. Female relatives of the carriers were then enrolled and genotyped. Among the female relatives with BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutations, cumulative risk of developing either breast or ovarian cancer by age 60 and 80, respectively, were 0.60 (± 0.07) and 0.83 (± 0.07) for BRCA1 carriers and 0.33 (± 0.09) and 0.76 (± 0.13) for BRCA2 carriers. Risks were higher in recent vs. earlier birth cohorts (P = 0.006). High cancer risks in BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation carriers identified through healthy males provide an evidence base for initiating a general screening program in the AJ population. General screening would identify many carriers who are not evaluated by genetic testing based on family history criteria. Such a program could serve as a model to investigate implementation and outcomes of population screening for genetic predisposition to cancer in other populations.Inherited mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 predispose to high risks of breast and ovarian cancer. Among female mutation carriers, presymptomatic surgical measures significantly reduce morbidity and mortality (1, 2). In particular, risk-reducing salpingo-oophorectomy (i.e., the removal of ovaries and fallopian tubes from a woman without ovarian cancer) reduces risk both of breast cancer and of ovarian cancer, as well as overall mortality (1). However, for many mutation carriers identified following their first cancer diagnosis, genetic testing was not previously indicated because family history did not suggest inherited cancer predisposition (3–5, 6). From a prevention perspective, it is a missed opportunity to identify a woman as a BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation carrier only after she develops cancer.Among Ashkenazi (European) Jews (AJ), three mutations, BRCA1 185delAG, BRCA1 5382insC, and BRCA2 6174delT, account for the great majority of inherited cancer risk due to BRCA1 and BRCA2 (7). In the AJ population, 2.5% of persons carry one of these three mutations (8), and the mutations account for 11% of breast cancer (3) and 40% of ovarian cancer (9, 10). These observations suggest that genetic testing in the AJ population for these mutations fulfills WHO criteria for population screening (11, 12): The disease is an important public health burden to the target population; prevalence and attributable risk of disease due to the mutations are known; and effective interventions exist. However, one necessary piece of information remains unknown: What is the disease risk to mutation carriers ascertained from the general population, rather than carriers identified based on family history (13)?Previous studies assessing cancer risks due to mutations in BRCA1 and BRCA2 ascertained carriers through high-incidence families (14), through a single index case with breast or ovarian cancer (3, 15) or through both affected and unaffected carriers (16). In a 1997 study of AJ volunteers, most index cases had no previous cancer diagnosis, but the percentage of index cases with a family history of breast cancer was approximately double that of unselected AJs (17). In principle, these strategies could have yielded risk estimates different from those of carriers ascertained from the local host population, if cancer risk in BRCA1 or BRCA2 carriers were influenced by familial factors other than the BRCA1 or BRCA2 mutation, such as modifier genes or shared environment (18). In addition, in almost all of these studies, risk estimates were based on imputing carrier status, rather than on direct genetic testing of BRCA1 and BRCA2. This year, the Recommendation Statement on BRCA Testing from the US Preventive Services Task Force recommended against population screening for BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations, because cancer risk to mutation carriers in the general population was not yet known (19). To address this gap, in this study we assessed breast and ovarian cancer risks in confirmed carriers of BRCA1 and BRCA2 mutations ascertained from the general population. The study was undertaken in the AJ population, because screening for only three founder mutations is sufficient to capture nearly all inherited cancer risk in this population due to BRCA1 and BRCA2 (7). |
