Inactivated influenza vaccine effectiveness in children under 6 years of age during the 2002-2003 season

This study was carried out to investigate the effectiveness of influenza vaccine among 2913 children (1512 vaccinees and 1401 nonvaccinees) under 6 years of age during the 2002-2003 season. Study subjects were recruited from 54 paediatric clinics, located in eight areas in Japan. Maximum body temperatures were obtained weekly from parents between 2002 December 16 and 2003 April 13. Influenza-like illness (ILI) was defined as an acute febrile illness (> or =38.0 degrees C) during the peak epidemic period in each study area. The vaccine antigens included were A/New Caledonia/20/99(H1N1), A/Panama/2007/99(H3N2) and B/Shandong/7/97. Vaccine effectiveness was analyzed by comparing the frequencies of ILI between vaccinees and nonvaccinees. The adjusted odds ratio (OR) and its 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were calculated by the proportional odds model using logistic regression with three-level outcome variables (<38.0/38.0-38.9/> or =39.0 degrees C). A significantly decreased OR of vaccination was observed (OR: 0.76; 95% CI: 0.66-0.88), corresponding to a vaccine effectiveness (1-OR) of 24% (95% CI: 12%-34%). When the analysis was confined to those aged > or =2 years, a more pronounced OR (0.67, 0.56-0.79) was obtained with a vaccine effectiveness of 33% (21%-44%). On the other hand, no significant vaccine effectiveness was detected among very young children; the ORs were 1.84 (0.81-4.19) for those <1 year of age and 0.99 (0.72-1.36) for those 1.0-1.9 years of age and 1.07 (0.80-1.44) when these two age groups were combined. Thus, among very young children vaccine effectiveness could not be demonstrated.