Visceral adipose tissue is a better predictor than BMI in the alternative Fistula Risk Score in patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy

BackgroundMuscle attenuation (MA) and visceral adipose tissue (VAT) have not yet been included in the currently used alternative Fistula Risk Score (a-FRS). The aim of this study was to examine the added value of these parameters as predictors of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) in the a-FRS after pancreatoduodenectomy compared to Body Mass Index (BMI).MethodsA single center retrospective cohort study was performed in patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy between 2009 and 2018. The a-FRS model was reproduced, MA and VAT were both combined and separately added to the model instead of BMI using logistic regression analysis. Model discrimination was assessed by ROC-curves.ResultsIn total, 329 patients were included of which 55 (16.7%) developed CR-POPF. The a-FRS model showed an AUC of 0.74 (95%CI: 0.68–0.80). In this model, BMI was not significantly associated with CR-POPF (p = 0.16). The MA + VAT model showed an AUC of 0.81 (95%CI: 0.75–0.86). VAT was significantly associated with CR-POPF (per cm², OR: 1.01; 95%CI: 1.00–1.01; p < 0.001). The AUC of the MA + VAT model differed significantly from the AUC of the a-FRS model (p = 0.001).ConclusionVisceral adipose tissue is of added value in the a-FRS compared to BMI in predicting CR-POPF in patients undergoing pancreatoduodenectomy.