Post-cimetidine Surveillance for up to Ten Years: Incidence of Carcinoma of the Stomach and Oesophagus

The long-term effects of cimetidine on the occurrence of gastricand oesophageal cancer were assessed in a prospective cohortstudy of 9928 patients who had been prescribed cimetidine. Theywere first identified between 1978 and 1980, and cancer registrationsand deaths were identified among them over a period of up to10 years. One hundred and eleven cancers were identified afterthe start of cimetidine treatment: 71 were adenocarcinomas ofthe stomach, 27 were carcinomas of the cardia and/or oesophagus(22 adenocarcinomas, five unknown histology) and the remaining13 tumours were squamous cell cancers of the oesophagus. Onlysix patients presented with early gastric cancers. Over a periodof eight years the ratio of observed to expected (O/E) gastriccancer deaths has fallen from 10.7 (p<0.001) to 1.2 (NS).The O/E ratio of oesophageal cancer deaths also fell over thefirst six years of study, from 5.4 (p<0.01) to 1.4 (NS) butit has risen slightly in years 7 and 8 to 3.7 (p<0.05). Thesefindings do not suggest that there is an increased risk of developingoesophageal or gastric cancer from cimetidine treatment, andare generally consistent with cimetidine being used inadvertentlyto treat the early symptoms of gastric and oesophageal cancer.The slight rise in oesophageal cancer deaths in years 7 and8 was unexpected and will be the subject of further observation.