| 捕获-标记-再捕获法在广东省广州市男男同性恋人群规模估计中的应用 |
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| 引用本文： | 王成,凌莉,何群,陈昂. 捕获-标记-再捕获法在广东省广州市男男同性恋人群规模估计中的应用[J]. 中国健康教育, 2011, 0(4): 294-296 |
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| 作者姓名： | 王成 凌莉 何群 陈昂 |
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| 作者单位： | 广东省皮肤性病防治中心;中山大学公共卫生学院(预防医学研究所);广东省疾病预防控制中心; |
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| 基金项目： | 2006年广州市医药卫生科技重大项目(2006-ZDa-003) |
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| 摘 要： | 目的估计广东省广州市男男同性恋人群规模,探讨捕获-标记-再捕获法应用过程中的影响因素。方法应用捕获-标记-再捕获法对广州市男男同性恋人群规模进行估计。结果广州市男男同性恋人群显性人群规模数为3442人(1361~5522人),隐性人群规模数为27 536人(10 888~44 176人),总人群规模数为30 978人(12 249~49 698人)。结论运用捕获-标记-再捕获法对男男同性恋人群规模进行估计用时短,但难度较大,尤其在条件满足上较为困难,实施时应加以注意。
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| 关 键 词： | 男男同性恋 规模估计 捕获-标记-再捕获法 |
Application of capture-mark-recapture method in estimating the size of male homosexual population in Guangzhou City of Guangdong Province |
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| WANG Cheng,LING Li,HE Qun,CHEN Ang.Guangdong Provincial Center for STI , Skin Diseases Control , Prevention,Guangzhou ,China. Application of capture-mark-recapture method in estimating the size of male homosexual population in Guangzhou City of Guangdong Province[J]. Chinese Journal of Health Education, 2011, 0(4): 294-296 |
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| Authors: | WANG Cheng LING Li HE Qun CHEN Ang.Guangdong Provincial Center for STI & Skin Diseases Control Prevention Guangzhou China |
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| Affiliation: | WANG Cheng,LING Li,HE Qun,CHEN Ang.Guangdong Provincial Center for STI & Skin Diseases Control and Prevention,Guangzhou 510500,China |
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| Abstract: | Objective To estimate the size of male homosexual population in Guangzhou City of Guangdong Province and analyze the application of capture-mark-recapture method.Methods The capture-mark-recapture method was applied in different activity places to estimate the size of male homosexual population in Guangzhou City.Results The estimation size of visible and hidden male homosexual population were 3442(1361-5522)and 27 536(10 888-44 176)respectively.The total number of male homosexual population was 30 978(12 24... |
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| Keywords: | Male homosexuals Size estimation Capture-mark-recapture |
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