运气学说的科学性探讨

本文在讨论了运气学说学术争鸣基本共识的基础上，从干支纪年的天文学依据、天文与气候变化的关系、平气推算的依据与一致性、运气预测的必备要素、极端气候事件与运气学说的关系、气候变化与人类疫病流行关系等6个方面讨论了运气学说的科学内涵，指出运气学说认为天文、气象、物候与人体生命活动相关的思想的正确性，但运气学说以干支符号推演的方法还需商榷。现代研究运气学说应在肯定其合理内核的基础上，坚持实事求是的科学态度，抛弃干支符号推演工具，汲取现代多学科知识，以开放的心态不断创造新知识。

The Scientific Study of Yunqi Doctrine

The scientific connotation of Yunqi doctrine was discussed in this paper from six parts based on its academic argument consensus,which involved an essential element of the Lunar calendar rested on astronomy,the relationship between climate change and astronomy,the criterion of normal Qi deduction and the necessary factor of Yunqi prediction, the relationship between extreme weather events and Yunqi doctrine,and the relationship between climate change and human epidemics disease.At last,the point of view that astronomy,meteorology,phenology and human life activities interacted each other in Yunqi doctrine was right.While,it was debatable that the symbol deduction of heavenly stems and earthly branches was applied in Yunqi doctrine.Modern Yunqi doctrine would have a scientific attitude of seeking truth from facts,abandon the symbol deduction of heavenly stems and earthly branches deduction method and acquire the modern multi-disciplinary knowledge timely to create new knowledge,based on its reasonable core and with an open mind.