The diagnosis of male infertility--prospective time-specific study of conception rates related to seminal analysis and post-coital sperm--mucus penetration and survival in otherwise unexplained infertility

Infertile women without any inherent female infertility factorsand able to secrete normal cervical mucus were studied prospectivelyin relation to post-coital sperm—mucus penetration (PCT)and their partner's seminal analysis, excluding men with azoospermia.Time-specific cumulative conception rates calculated as forlife-table analysis were related to each measured seminal variableon routine analysis of 2–3 samples (volume, density, proportionwith progressive motility, and proportion with normal morphology);to various derivatives from combinations of these variables;to seminal findings after vital staining; and to the PCT results.The best seminal predictor of fertility was the motile normalsperm density (MNSD), the 18 month conception rates being 57.4%+ 4.6 (SE) and 30.2% + 5.9 (ratio 1.9, P < 0.001) above andbelow a derived threshold value of 4 x 10⁶/ml. The PCT led torates of 55.6% ± 4.3 and 14.9% ± 5.1 (ratio 3.73,P < 0.001) for positive and negative results, respectively.The PCT also gave rise to a significantly distinct intermediatepoor-psitive sub-group (conception rate 30.6% ± 9.0).Seminal analysis (the MNSD) did not affect the conception rateassociated with a positive PCT but helped to discriminate furtherwith a negative PCT (conception rates 22.5% ± 8.7 withan MNSD above 4 x 10⁶/ml versus 5.6% ± 4.8 below, P <0.05). The PCT was the single best predictor of fertility butseminal analysis (the MNSD) was of additional value after anegative PCT.