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| 捕获-再捕获法在艾滋病高危人群基数估计中的运用 | |
| 引用本文： | 王斌,程峰,梁伯衡,栾荣生,吕繁,袁萍,张大鹏,杨春霞,毛宇嵘,曾刚,罗雷,王琳琅.捕获-再捕获法在艾滋病高危人群基数估计中的运用[J].现代预防医学,2004,31(6):832-833. |
| 作者姓名： | 王斌 程峰 梁伯衡 栾荣生 吕繁 袁萍 张大鹏 杨春霞 毛宇嵘 曾刚 罗雷 王琳琅 |
| 作者单位： | 1. 中英性病艾滋病防治合作项目办公室,北京,100050 2. 四川大学华西公共卫生学院 3. 中国疾病预防控制中心流行病室 |
| 基金项目： | 中英性病艾滋病防治合作项目资助项目课题 (0 2 H45 4) |
| 摘 要： | 目的:探讨捕获-再捕获法在艾滋病高危人群(同性恋人群、暗娼人群和吸毒人群)基数估计中的运用.方法:通过发放标记物和问卷调查估计成都市同性恋人群基数;依据戒毒所登记资料,估计乐山市市中区吸毒人群基数.结果:捕获-再捕获法对成都市同性恋者基数估计分别是1387、1372和1151人;对乐山市市中区吸毒人群的估计为3456人.结论:运用捕获-再捕获法对艾滋病高危人群进行估计经济易行,结果较为可靠,较适合发展中国家在卫生资源有限的情况下进行高危人群基数估计. |
| 关 键 词： | 捕获-再捕获法 基数估计 艾滋病高危人群 |
| 文章编号： | 1003-8507(2004)06-0832-03 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004年10月22 |
APPLICATIONS OF CAPTURE-RECAPTURE METHOD FOR ESTIMATING THE SIZE OF SUB-POPULATION AT HIGH RISK FOR HIV/AIDS |
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| WANG Bin,CHENG Feng,LIA NG Bo-heng,et al..APPLICATIONS OF CAPTURE-RECAPTURE METHOD FOR ESTIMATING THE SIZE OF SUB-POPULATION AT HIGH RISK FOR HIV/AIDS[J].Modern Preventive Medicine,2004,31(6):832-833. | |
| Authors: | WANG Bin CHENG Feng LIA NG Bo-heng |
| Institution: | WANG Bin,CHENG Feng,LIA NG Bo-heng,et al.Management Office of UK-China HIV/AIDS prevention and Care Project,Beijing,100050. |
| Abstract: | Objective:To study the application of Capture -Recapture method in est imating the size of population in high-risk for AIDS. Methods:The si ze of homosexual population in Chengdu by handing out marks and questioning was estimated.The size of injection drug use population in Leshan downtown distric t was estimated b ased on the data of detoxic centers.Results:The results of c apture-recapture in estimating the homosexual population were 1387, 1372 and 1151 respectively. The result of estimating the size of injection drug use population in Leshan dow ntown district was 3546.Conclusion:It is economic and feasible to estimate the size of population in high-risk for HIV/AIDS by applying the Capture-Recaptur e method. The result is reliable and the method is fit in developing countries wh e re health resources are limited. |
| Keywords: | Capture-Recapture method Estimating the size Po pulation at high risk for HIV/AIDS |
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