Evaluation of abnormal exercise electrocardiogram in apparently healthy subjects: Labile repolarization (ST-T) abnormalities as a cause of false positive responses

Long-term follow-up studies were carried out in 121 apparently healthy men with an abnormal S-T segment response to exercise—49 Indiana State policemen and 72 subjects from a large occupational health center. The mean follow-up periods were 66 months and 43 months, respectively, for the two groups of subjects. A tendency toward labile S-T or T wave abnormalities were documented during standing rest or with hyperventilation in 61 of these 121 subjects and there was only one new coronary event in this subgroup. The labile ST-T wave changes and the abnormal S-T segment responses to exercise were not consistently reproducible in these subjects, and it was not unusual to see an abnormal S-T segment response at a time when the labile repolarization changes could not be demonstrated. Many of the subjects exhibited labile ST-T wave changes only after oral glucose loading. Significant coronary artery disease was documented in 34 (57 percent) of the remaining 60 subjects during the follow-up period.Coronary cineangiographic studies, obtained in 21 of the 35 subjects from the health center who had had no evidence of labile ST-T wave abnormalities, revealed coronary arterial stenoses of 75 percent or greater in 19. A statistical analysis was carried out in the 35 subjects without labile ST-T abnormalities to determine if there were exercise test variables that would differentiate the true positive from the false positive responses. A set of criteria were identified that yielded a specificity of 92 percent, a sensitivity of 82 percent and a predictive value of 95 percent. The entire group of 72 from the health center subjects had undergone an average of 3.8 exercise tests before their referral to the authors' laboratory. A review of these records revealed that a serial conversion from a normal to an abnormal S-T segment response was not more predictive of underlying coronary artery disease than an initially abnormal test result.