| GM(1,1)灰色模型在尘肺患病人数预测的应用与评价 |
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| 引用本文： | 李舒才,肖全华,曹永兴,谢富华. GM(1,1)灰色模型在尘肺患病人数预测的应用与评价[J]. 国际医药卫生导报, 2004, 10(18): 207-208 |
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| 作者姓名： | 李舒才 肖全华 曹永兴 谢富华 |
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| 作者单位： | 韶关市职业病防治院,广东,韶关,512000 |
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| 摘 要： | 目的 探讨验证灰色模型在尘肺患病人数预测的应用效果。方法 利用该煤矿1996～1986年尘肺患病人数进行建模，并建立了数学模型X(I)=583e^0.038(T-II)-452，作外推预测验证。结果 该灰色预测模型的拟合程度较高，取得了较好的效果。结论 灰色模型可应用于尘肺患病人数的预测。
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| 关 键 词： | 灰色数列 预测 尘肺病人数 |
| 文章编号： | 1007-1245(2004)18-0207-02 |
| 修稿时间： | 2004-05-28 |
Applying and Evaluating of Grey Model(1.1) in Forecasting Approach for the Number of Pneumoconiosis Patients |
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| LI Shucai XIAO QuanhuaShaoguan Prevention and Treatment Institute of Occupational Diseases,Shaoguan,China. Applying and Evaluating of Grey Model(1.1) in Forecasting Approach for the Number of Pneumoconiosis Patients[J]. International Medicine & Health Guidance News, 2004, 10(18): 207-208 |
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| Authors: | LI Shucai XIAO QuanhuaShaoguan Prevention Treatment Institute of Occupational Diseases Shaoguan China |
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| Affiliation: | LI Shucai XIAO QuanhuaShaoguan Prevention and Treatment Institute of Occupational Diseases,Shaoguan512000,China |
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| Abstract: | |
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| Keywords: | Grey Model Forecasting approach Pneumoconiosis patients |
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