Accurate prediction of autologous stem cell apheresis yields using a double variable-dependent method assures systematic efficiency control of continuous flow collection procedures

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Stem cell collection is a standard procedure for the procurement of autologous grafts to rescue myelosuppression induced by high-dose treatments. Accurate prediction of collection yields may contribute to optimize planning and quality control of collection. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data of 313 autologous haematopoietic stem cell (AHSC) evaluable collections performed in 208 patients with haematologic and non-haematologic neoplasms from seven centres were prospectively analysed to test the accuracy of yield predictions generated by a formula that required the input of peripheral blood (PB) CD34+ cell precount and desired PB volume to be processed. Data were matched in a standard linear regression, in a zero-point regression analysis and tested for prediction accuracy. Further 165 AHSC collections were analysed on a single-centre basis, using yield predictions as reference standards. RESULTS: Analysis showed high levels of correlation between measured collection yields (my) and predictions (py) (R = 0.85; P = 0.000000) as well as high degree of prediction accuracy (my vs. py at paired t-test: P = 0.114781; median my/py ratio = 1.23). Analysis of additional 165 AHSC collections on a single-centre basis showed that the analysed centres had 70% or more measured yields comprising the 0.6-1.8 interval of the my/py ratio. The observance of the 'efficiency' my/py interval assured collection quality control in these centres confirming the reliability of the method. CONCLUSIONS: This prediction method generates accurate and immediate yield predictions allowing collection planning and rapid efficiency control. As a consequence of our study, four centres out of seven use the described method to plan both leukapheresis number and single-procedure blood processing volume while the remaining three centres plan leukapheresis number on the basis of our predictions, maintaining a fixed single-procedure 200 ml/kg blood volume processing, according to their centre AHSC collection policy.