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Validation of a diagnostic score model for the prediction of Legionella pneumophila pneumonia
Authors:Naoyuki Miyashita  Nobuyuki Horita  Futoshi Higa  Yosuke Aoki  Toshiaki Kikuchi  Masafumi Seki  Kazuhiro Tateda  Nobuko Maki  Kazuhiro Uchino  Kazuhiko Ogasawara  Hiroshi Kiyota  Akira Watanabe
Affiliation:1. First Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Respiratory Medicine, Infectious Disease and Allergology, Kansai Medical University, Japan;2. Department of Pulmonology, Yokohama City University Graduate School of Medicine, Japan;3. National Hospital Organization Okinawa National Hospital, Japan;4. Department of Infectious Disease and Hospital Epidemiology, Saga University Hospital, Japan;5. Department of Respiratory Medicine and Infectious Diseases, Niigata University Graduate School of Medical and Dental Sciences, Japan;6. Division of Infectious Diseases and Infection Control, Tohoku Medical and Pharmaceutical University Hospital, Japan;7. Department of Microbiology and Infectious Diseases, Toho University School of Medicine, Japan;8. Taisho Toyama Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd, Japan;9. Daiichi Sankyo Co., Ltd, Japan;10. Department of Urology, The Jikei University Katsushika Medical Center, Japan;11. Development of Anti-Infective Agents, Faculty of Medical Science and Welfare, Tohoku Bunka Gakuen University, Japan
Abstract:BackgroundCommunity-acquired pneumonia (CAP) due to Legionella has a high mortality rate in patients who do not receive adequate antibiotic therapy. In a previous study, we developed a simple Legionella Score to distinguish patients with Legionella and non-Legionella pneumonia based on clinical information at diagnosis. In the present study, we validated this Legionella Score for the presumptive diagnosis of Legionella CAP.MethodsThis validation cohort included 109 patients with Legionella CAP and 683 patients with non-Legionella CAP. The Legionella Score includes six parameters by assigning one point for each of the following items: being male, absence of cough, dyspnea, C-reactive protein (CRP) ≥ 18 mg/dL, lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) ≥ 260 U/L, and sodium < 134 mmol/L.ResultsWhen the Legionella CAP and non-Legionella CAP were compared by univariate analysis, most of the evaluated symptoms and laboratory test results differed substantially. The six parameters that were used for the Legionella Score also indicated clear differences between the Legionella and non-Legionella CAP. All Legionella patients had a score of 2 points or higher. The median Legionella Scores were 4 in the Legionella CAP cases and 2 in the non-Legionella CAP cases. A receiver operating characteristics curve showed that the area under the curve was 0.93. The proposed best cutoff, total score ≥3, had sensitivity of 93% and specificity of 75%.ConclusionOur Legionella Score was shown to have good diagnostic ability with a positive likelihood of 3.7 and a negative likelihood of 0.10.
Keywords:Corresponding author. First Department of Internal Medicine, Division of Respiratory Medicine, Infectious Disease and Allergology, Kansai Medical University, 2-5-1 Shin-machi, Hirakata, Osaka 573-1010, Japan.  Community-acquired pneumonia  C-reactive protein  Diagnostic score  Serum sodium  AUC  area under the ROC curve  CAP  community-acquired pneumonia  CRP  C-reactive proteins  IQR  interquartile ranges  LAMP  loop-mediated isothermal amplification method  LDH  lactate dehydrogenase  MIC  minimum inhibitory concentration  NLH  negative likelihood  NPV  negative predictive value  PCR  polymerase chain reaction  PLH  positive likelihood  PPV  positive predictive value  ROC  receiver operating characteristics
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