| 嘉定区菌痢发病率的指数曲线配合分析 |
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| 引用本文： | 邵月琴 谈佳弟. 嘉定区菌痢发病率的指数曲线配合分析[J]. 上海预防医学, 1999, 11(2): 68-69 |
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| 作者姓名： | 邵月琴 谈佳弟 |
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| 作者单位： | 上海市嘉定区卫生防疫站 |
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| 摘 要： | 目的对嘉定区菌痢发病率进行分析和趋势预测。方法运用指数曲线直线化的方法。结果得指数曲线回归方程ｙ∧＝ｅ６．６１２－０．２０８ｘ。结论预测未来几年菌痢发病率会下降。在现阶段自来水基本普及，居民生活水平日益提高的情况下，菌痢发病的危险因素主要集中在食品卫生和卫生行为上。
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| 关 键 词： | 菌痢 发病率 曲线配合 |
Analysis of exponential curve fitting of dysentery incidence rate in Jiading district |
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| Shao Yueqin,Tan Jiadi.Jiading Hygiene and Antiepidemic Station,Shanghai. Analysis of exponential curve fitting of dysentery incidence rate in Jiading district[J]. Shanghai Journal of Preventive Medicine, 1999, 11(2): 68-69 |
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| Authors: | Shao Yueqin Tan Jiadi.Jiading Hygiene Antiepidemic Station Shanghai |
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| Affiliation: | Shao Yueqin,Tan Jiadi.Jiading Hygiene and Antiepidemic Station,Shanghai 201800 |
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| Abstract: | Objective To analyze the incidence rate of dysentery and predict its trend. Methods By linearization of exponential curve. Results Regression formular of exponential curve y =e6.612-0.208xwas derived. By prediction it seemed that the annuel incidence of dysentery would be decreasing in the coming years. Conclusion By analysis of the present situation of popularilized tap water suply and improvement of living standard of the residents the risk factors of dysentery are chiefly concentrated at food hygiene and health behaviors. |
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| Keywords: | Dysentery Incidence rateCurve fitting |
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