Fibrinogen predicts ischaemic stroke and advanced atherosclerosis but not echolucent, rupture-prone carotid plaques: the Copenhagen City Heart Study.

AIMS: Whether the association between fibrinogen and cardiovascular events reflects an association with advanced atherosclerosis in general, or rupture-prone plaques in particular, is unclear. We examined whether fibrinogen predicts incidence of ischaemic stroke, advanced atherosclerosis (measured as carotid artery stenosis) and/or echolucent, rupture-prone plaques. METHODS AND RESULTS: Study 1-8755 Copenhagen City Heart Study stroke-free participants; we observed 235 ischaemic strokes during 6 years of follow-up. Study 2-318 carotid stenosis patients and 1584 age- and gender-matched controls. Study 3-159 patients with echolucent vs 159 patients with echo-rich carotid artery plaques. Fibrinogen above vs below the median value of 3 g l(-1)predicted risk of ischaemic stroke (relative risk: 1.9; 95% CI: 1.4-2.5; 235 events). Significant risk was found in men (2.7; 1.7-4.2; 113 events) and with a similar trend in women (1.4; 0.9-2.0; 122 events), in young (5.2; 1.1-26; eight events) and middle aged (2.9; 1.6-5.4; 64 events) with a similar trend in the elderly (1.4; 1.0-2.0; 163 events). Fibrinogen levels in those with and without ischaemic stroke were 3.6 and 3.1 g l(-1)(ANCOVA: P<0.0001). Likewise, in those with and without carotid artery stenosis fibrinogen levels were 4.7 and 3.1 g l(-1)(P<0.0001); equivalent values for high-sensitive C-reactive protein were 3.6 and 1.4 mg l(-1)(P<0.0001). Finally, neither fibrinogen nor high-sensitive C-reactive protein levels differed between those with echolucent and echo-rich carotid artery plaques (P=0.61 and P=0.28); the power to exclude a 15% increase in fibrinogen or a 50% increase in high-sensitive C-reactive protein was 98 and 54%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: Elevated fibrinogen predicts future ischaemic strokes, particularly in men and in the young and middle aged. This is most likely a reflection of advanced atherosclerosis, rather than an association with rupture-prone plaques.