| 基于SCI论文和专利数据的单项技术成熟度评估方法 |
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| 引用本文： | 李亚男,李攀,雷二庆.基于SCI论文和专利数据的单项技术成熟度评估方法[J].中华医学图书情报杂志,2016,25(3):13-17. |
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| 作者姓名： | 李亚男 李攀 雷二庆 |
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| 作者单位： | 军事医学科学院科技评价中心，北京100850,军事医学科学院科技评价中心，北京100850,军事医学科学院科技评价中心，北京100850 |
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| 摘 要： | 目的：借鉴高德纳Hype Cycle等技术成熟度评估方法，尝试建立基于SCI论文和专利数据的单项技术成熟度评估方法。方法：结合传统X线摄影和光声层析成像技术成熟度的测试，对SCI论文和专利数据分别进行非线性回归分析，拟合为用于研判成熟度的钟形和S形曲线。结果：所获单项技术成熟度评估结果与专家定性评述较一致。结论：单项技术的SCI论文和专利数据，能够实现对单项技术成熟度的初步评估。
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| 关 键 词： | 单项技术成熟度 非线性回归 Hype Cycle 学术评价 技术评价 |
| 收稿时间： | 2015/10/21 0:00:00 |
Evaluation methods of individual technology maturity based on SCI-covered papers and patent data |
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| LI Ya-nan,LI Pan and LEI Er-qing.Evaluation methods of individual technology maturity based on SCI-covered papers and patent data[J].Chinese Journal of Medical Library and Information Science,2016,25(3):13-17. |
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| Authors: | LI Ya-nan LI Pan and LEI Er-qing |
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| Institution: | Scientific and Technological Evaluation Center, Academy of Military Medical Sciences, Beijing 100850, China,Scientific and Technological Evaluation Center, Academy of Military Medical Sciences, Beijing 100850, China and Scientific and Technological Evaluation Center, Academy of Military Medical Sciences, Beijing 100850, China |
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| Abstract: | Objective To establish the evaluation methods of individual technology maturity based on SCI-covered papers and patent data using Gartner's Hype Cycle. Methods The SCI-covered papers and patent data were analyzed by nonlinear regression analysis in combination with traditional X-radiography and photo-acoustic tomography, and represented as the bell-shaped curve and S-shaped curve for judging the technology maturity. Results The individual technology maturity was consistent with the qualitative review of experts. Conclusion The individual technology described in SCI-covered papers and patent data can be used in primary evaluation of its maturity. |
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