Primary whole‐gland ablation for localized prostate cancer with high‐intensity focused ultrasound: The important predictors of biochemical recurrence

Objectives

To identify predictive factors of biochemical recurrence for patients undergoing high‐intensity focused ultrasound treatment for localized prostate cancer.

Methods

We retrospectively identified patients receiving whole‐gland prostate ablation with high‐intensity focused ultrasound for localized prostate cancer from 2009 to 2015. All the patients received pre‐high‐intensity focused ultrasound radical transurethral resection of the prostate. We included perioperative parameters as follows: age, preoperative prostate volume, stage of operation, initial prostate‐specific antigen, T stage, postoperative prostate‐specific antigen nadir, Gleason score, time to prostate‐specific antigen nadir and the presence of prostate‐specific antigen biochemical recurrence. Multivariable Cox regression and Kaplan–Meier analysis were used for investigating predictors of recurrence, and receiver operating characteristic analysis was used for the cut‐off values of prostate‐specific antigen nadir.

Results

Among 182 patients, 26.9% had prostate‐specific antigen biochemical recurrence after high‐intensity focused ultrasound during the median follow‐up period of 32.21 months. Gleason score ≥7 (Gleason score 7, hazard ratio 2.877, P = 0.027), stage ≥T2b (T2b, hazard ratio 3.16, P = 0.027) and prostate‐specific antigen nadir (hazard ratio 1.11, P < 0.001) were statistically significant, whereas there was no significance in prostate volume and initial prostate‐specific antigen. We posit that a cut‐off level of prostate‐specific antigen nadir 0.43 ng/mL might be considered as an independent predictive factor for prostate‐specific antigen biochemical recurrence in high‐intensity focused ultrasound patients in multivariate analysis (P < 0.001, hazard ratio 7.39, 95% confidence interval 3.56–15.37), and created a new nadir‐related prediction model for biochemical recurrence prediction.

Conclusions

Postoperative prostate‐specific antigen nadir of 0.43 ng/mL can be considered an important predictive factor for biochemical recurrence in primary whole‐prostate gland high‐intensity focused ultrasound treatment, and the nadir‐related prediction model might provide a reference for early salvage treatment. Furthermore, Gleason score ≥7, stage ≥T2b might be associated with unfavorable outcomes, although prostate volume and higher initial prostate‐specific antigen appear not to be associated with biochemical recurrence for the high‐intensity focused ultrasound treatment.