Breast and gynecological cancers in Croatia, 1988-2008

Aim

To analyze and interpret incidence and mortality trends of breast and ovarian cancers and incidence trends of cervical and endometrial cancers in Croatia for the period 1988-2008.

Methods

Incidence data were obtained from the Croatian National Cancer Registry. The mortality data were obtained from the World Health Organization (WHO) mortality database. Trends of incidence and mortality were analyzed by joinpoint regression analysis.

Results

Joinpoint analysis showed an increase in the incidence of breast cancer with estimated annual percent of change (EAPC) of 2.6% (95% confidence interval CI], 1.9 to 3.4). The mortality rate was stable, with the EAPC of 0.3% (95% CI, -0.6 to 0.0). Endometrial cancer showed an increasing incidence trend, with EAPC of 0.8% (95% CI, 0.2 to 1.4), while cervical cancer showed a decreasing incidence trend, with EAPC of -1.0 (95% CI, -1.6 to -0.4). Ovarian cancer incidence showed three trends, but the average annual percent change (AAPC) for the overall period was not significant, with a stable trend of 0.1%. Ovarian cancer mortality was increasing since 1992, with EAPC of 1.2% (95% CI, 0.4 to 1.9), while the trend for overall period was stable with AAPC 0.1%.

Conclusion

Incidence trends of breast, endometrial, and ovarian cancers in Croatia 1988-2008 are similar to the trends observed in most of the European countries, while the modest decline in cervical cancer incidence and lack of decline in breast cancer mortality suggest suboptimal cancer prevention and control.Breast and gynecological cancers are among the seven most common female cancers in Croatia: in 2008 breast cancer was the most common cancer with the proportion of 26% of all cancer sites, endometrial cancer ranked fourth (6%), ovarian cancer (with fallopian tubes cancer) sixth (5%), and cervical cancer seventh (4%) (1).Breast, endometrial, and ovarian cancers share some similar risk factors like early menarche, late menopause, obesity, and low parity (2-5). Also, breast cancer in personal history increases the risk of endometrial and ovarian cancer (6). Delayed childbearing increases the risk of breast cancer but seems to have no impact on the development of ovarian and endometrial cancer (3-5). Diabetes mellitus increases the risk of endometrial and breast cancer (7,8). Use of tamoxifen or other selective estrogen receptor modulators increases the risk of endometrial and ovarian cancer, while the use of combined oral contraceptives is a protective factor (2,9,10). Also, tobacco smoking and alcohol intake reduce the risk of endometrial cancer (2,11,12). Alcohol intake and both oral contraceptives and hormonal replacement therapy are risk factors for breast cancer (2,13,14). Multiparty and physical activity are protective factors for all three cancers (2,4,15,16). Low socioeconomic status, sexually transmitted diseases, promiscuity, unprotected sexual behavior, earlier age of first intercourse, and smoking are risk factors for cervical cancer (2,17-23). Infection with human papillomavirus is considered as a necessary cause of cervical cancer (24).The aim of this study was to report the incidence and mortality of breast and ovarian cancers and incidence of endometrial and cervical cancers, analyze the trends in the period 1988-2008, and compare them to other European countries.