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我国中药产业安全评价实证分析
引用本文:张笑笑,汤少梁,殷爱玲.我国中药产业安全评价实证分析[J].中草药,2016,47(7):1243-1250.
作者姓名:张笑笑  汤少梁  殷爱玲
作者单位:南京中医药大学经贸管理学院, 江苏 南京 210023;南京中医药大学经贸管理学院, 江苏 南京 210023;南京中医药大学第三附属医院, 江苏 南京 210001
基金项目:国家中医药管理局与江苏省人民政府共建重点项目"基于知识产权保护的中医药产业安全政策研究"(SJGJ013)
摘    要:为了促进我国中药产业可持续发展。结合德尔菲法和产业安全理论建立中药产业安全评价指标体系。通过文献研究、灰色预测法收集中药产业相关数据,利用熵权TOPSIS法对2007—2013年我国中药产业安全进行评价及实证分析。中药材价格、中药产业进口对外依存度、中药产业研发费用及中药专利对中药产业安全影响大;我国中药产业2007—2010年不安全,2011—2013年基本安全。通过实证分析对中药产业安全进行评价,结论可靠,对中药产业可持续发展具有指导意义。

关 键 词:中药  安全评价  评价指标  产业安全  实证分析
收稿时间:2015/8/30 0:00:00

Safety assessment and empirical analysis on Chinese materia medica industry in China
ZHANG Xiao-xiao,TANG Shao-liang and YIN Ai-ling.Safety assessment and empirical analysis on Chinese materia medica industry in China[J].Chinese Traditional and Herbal Drugs,2016,47(7):1243-1250.
Authors:ZHANG Xiao-xiao  TANG Shao-liang and YIN Ai-ling
Institution:Management College of Economics and Trade, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing 210023, China;Management College of Economics and Trade, Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing 210023, China;The Third Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing University of Chinese Medicine, Nanjing 210001, China
Abstract:To promote the sustainable development of Chinese materia medica(CMM) industry in our country. The safety evaluation index system of CMM industry was established by Delphi and industrial safety theory. Through literature research and gray prediction, the relevant data were collected and analyzed. The safety of CMM industry during 2007-2013 was evaluated and analyzed by entropy-weight and TOPSIS method. Prices of CMM, external dependence degree of import, CMM research and development costs and CMM patent have a great influence on the safety of CMM industry. Our CMM industry is not safe during 2007-2010, but basic safety during 2011-2013. Through the empirical analysis on the safety assessment in CMM industry, the conclusion is reliable and has guiding significance for the sustainable development of CMM industry.
Keywords:Chinese materia medica  safety assessment  evaluation index  industry safety  empirical analysis
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