One-year sac regression is associated with freedom from fatal adverse events after endovascular aneurysm repair

ObjectiveAlthough the predictors of long-term prognosis after endovascular aneurysm repair (EVAR) have been investigated, several reports have suggested that early sac shrinkage (ESS) is associated with superior long-term prognosis. However, it was not clear whether ESS was associated with aneurysm-related mortality. The aim of this study was to define fatal adverse events and to examine their association with ESS.MethodsAll consecutive patients who underwent EVAR for an abdominal aortic aneurysm at Nagoya University Hospital between June 2007 and August 2018 were identified. We defined ESS as an aneurysm diameter decrease of 10 mm or more at 1 year after EVAR, and we defined fatal adverse events as aneurysm-related death, aneurysm sac rupture, open conversion, secondary type Ia endoleak, or secondary type IIIa/b endoleak. Then, we evaluated the association between ESS and fatal adverse events and identified predictors of ESS.ResultsDuring the study period, 553 patients were identified and included. Fatal adverse events occurred in 42 patients (7.6%), and the details of the fatal adverse events were as follows: 13 aneurysm-related deaths, 17 aneurysm sac ruptures, 14 open conversions, 13 type Ia endoleaks, and 6 type III endoleaks. ESS occurred in 146 patients (26.4%). Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the ESS group had a significantly lower incidence of fatal adverse events (P < .001). Multivariate analysis showed that there were significant differences in terms of 5 or more preoperatively patent lumbar arteries (odds ratio [OR], 0.67; P = .049; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.45-1.00), chronic kidney disease (OR, 0.49; P < .01; 95% CI, 0.29-0.84), and Zenith endograft use (OR, 1.76; P < .01; 95% CI, 1.16-2.67). Furthermore, the percentage of cases that achieved an aneurysm diameter of less than 40 mm was significantly higher in the ESS group (76.0% vs 15.5%; P < .01). The use of Zenith endografts showed a significantly higher rate of aneurysm disappearance than the use of Endurant endografts (P < .01) and Excluder endografts (P < .01). In addition, it was found that ESS was more likely to occur with the use of Zenith endografts, even when propensity score matching was performed for the neck morphology.ConclusionsESS was associated with a lower rate of life-threatening adverse events after EVAR. The use of Zenith endografts was a predictor of ESS and was associated with increased rates of long-term sac shrinkage and aneurysm disappearance compared with the Endurant and Excluder endografts. Using the predictors of ESS identified in this study, we may be able to expand the indications for EVAR to patients with a longer life expectancy.