| 广东省某市吸毒人群规模的估计研究 |
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| 引用本文： | 王贝贝,林爱华.广东省某市吸毒人群规模的估计研究[J].现代预防医学,2011,38(18):3640-3642. |
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| 作者姓名： | 王贝贝 林爱华 |
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| 作者单位： | 中山大学公共卫生学院医学统计与流行病学系,广州,510080 |
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| 基金项目： | 2007年广东省科技厅计划项目 |
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| 摘 要： | 目的]采用乘数法和捕获-标记-再捕获法估计广东省某市吸毒人群的数量,为该人群健康干预工作提供依据。方法]对广东省某市社区、美沙酮维持治疗门诊和劳教所的吸毒人员进行调查,获得该人群的基本情况,依据该市8家强制戒毒所的吸毒人员数据,运用乘数法和捕获-标记-再捕获法估算该市的吸毒人群数量。结果]该市吸毒人群以青壮年为主,文化程度较低,地区分布广泛,乘数法和捕获-标记-再捕获法估计的吸毒人员基数分别为49619,(47599～54734)人。结论]乘数法与捕获-标记-再捕获法有较好的一致性,估计该市吸毒人数约为50000人,对吸毒人群的基数估计要根据实际需要综合运用各种估计方法。
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| 关 键 词： | 吸毒者 基数估计 乘数法 捕获-标记-再捕获法 |
STUDY ON ESTIMATING THE POPULATION SIZE OF DRUG USERS IN A CERTAIN CITY OF GUANGDONG PROVINCE |
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| WANG Bei-bei,LIN Ai-hua.STUDY ON ESTIMATING THE POPULATION SIZE OF DRUG USERS IN A CERTAIN CITY OF GUANGDONG PROVINCE[J].Modern Preventive Medicine,2011,38(18):3640-3642. |
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| Authors: | WANG Bei-bei LIN Ai-hua |
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| Institution: | WANG Bei-bei,LIN Ai-hua.(School of Public Health,Sun Yat-Sen University University,Guangzhou 510080,China) |
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| Abstract: | Objective]To provide an relatively accurate population size for health intervention among drug users in a certain city by applying results from the multiplier method and capture-mark-capture method.Methods]Investigations were conducted among drug users in community,Methadone maintenance treatment clinic and department of labor correction to obtain the general characteristic of this population.Multiplier method and capture-recapture method were used to estimate the size of drug users with use of data from ... |
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| Keywords: | Drug users Estimation of population size Multiplier method Capture-mark-capture method |
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