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Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Sporadic Shiga Toxin–Producing Escherichia coli Enteritis,Ireland, 2013–2017
Authors:Eimear Cleary  Martin Boudou  Patricia Garvey  Coilin Oh Aiseadha  Paul McKeown  Jean O&#x;Dwyer  Paul Hynds
Institution:Technological University Dublin, Dublin, Ireland (E. Cleary, M. Boudou, P. Hynds);Health Protection Surveillance Centre, Dublin (P. Garvey, P. McKeown);Steeven’s Hospital, Dublin (C. Oh’Aiseadha);University College Cork, Cork, Ireland (J. O’Dwyer)
Abstract:The Republic of Ireland regularly reports the highest annual crude incidence rates of Shiga toxin–producing Escherichia coli (STEC) enteritis in the European Union, ≈10 times the average. We investigated spatiotemporal patterns of STEC enteritis in Ireland using multiple statistical tools. Overall, we georeferenced 2,755 cases of infection during January 2013–December 2017; we found >1 case notified in 2,340 (12.6%) of 18,641 Census Small Areas. We encountered the highest case numbers in children 0–5 years of age (n = 1,101, 39.6%) and associated with serogroups O26 (n = 800, 29%) and O157 (n = 638, 23.2%). Overall, we identified 17 space-time clusters, ranging from 2 (2014) to 5 (2017) clusters of sporadic infection per year; we detected recurrent clustering in 3 distinct geographic regions in the west and mid-west, all of which are primarily rural. Our findings can be used to enable targeted epidemiologic intervention and surveillance.
Keywords:STEC  VTEC  spatial epidemiology  space-time scanning  sporadic infection  Escherichia coli  Shiga toxin  Shiga toxin–  producing E  coli  verocytotoxin-producing Escherichia coli  clustering  bacteria  enteric infections  Ireland  food safety
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