Do hospital bed reduction and multiple system reform affect patient mortality?: A trend and multilevel analysis in New Zealand over the period 1988-2001

BACKGROUND: The impact of hospital and system restructuring on the quality and pattern of care is an important issue of public policy concern. OBJECTIVE: To assess the effect on patterns of care and patient outcomes of a substantial reduction in public hospital bed availability and multiple reorganizations in New Zealand through the 1990s. RESEARCH DESIGN: Trend analysis using both tabular and multilevel techniques. SUBJECTS: Access to discharge data, amounting to 6,639,487 records, was secured for all 34 major public hospitals in New Zealand over the period 1988-2001. OUTCOME MEASURES: Number of discharges, admission rate, access levels, mean length of stay, unplanned readmission rate, and 60-day postadmission mortality rate. RESULTS: Although the number of inpatient beds in use declined by one-third over the period and the national population grew by nearly one-fifth, discharge volumes increased significantly and rates of inpatient admission were maintained, as were access levels for vulnerable groups. These changes were accompanied by workload adjustments (a halving in length of stay and an increase by a quarter in readmission rates). Yet age-adjusted postadmission patient mortality decreased by a quarter over the period of study, a rate of decline that was slowed by the major workload adjustments but not by reform phase. CONCLUSIONS: Other things being equal, a substantial reduction in inpatient bed availability can be effected in national public hospital systems, while largely maintaining access and quality of care. However, the workload adjustments that are required may slow improvements in patient outcomes.     

Primary care teams: New Zealand's experience with community-governed non-profit primary care

Community-governed non-profit primary care organisations started developing in New Zealand in the late 1980s with the aim to reduce financial, cultural and geographical barriers to access. New Zealand's new primary health care strategy aims to co-ordinate primary care and public health strategies with the overall objective of improving population health and reducing health inequalities. The purpose of this study is to carry out a detailed examination of the composition and characteristics of primary care teams in community-governed non-profit practices and compare them with more traditional primary care organisations, with the aim of drawing conclusions about the capacity of the different structures to carry out population-based primary care. The study used data from a representative national cross-sectional survey of general practitioners in New Zealand (2001/2002). Primary care teams were largest and most heterogeneous in community-governed non-profit practices, which employed about 3% of the county's general practitioners. Next most heterogeneous in terms of their primary care teams were practices that belonged to an Independent Practitioner Association, which employed the majority of the country's general practitioners (71.7%). Even though in absolute and relative terms the community-governed non-profit primary care sector is small, by providing a much needed element of professional and organisational pluralism and by experimenting with more diverse staffing arrangements, it is likely to continue to have an influence on primary care policy development in New Zealand.     

Comparison of services provided by urban commercial, community-governed and traditional primary care practices in New Zealand

OBJECTIVES: New Zealand has experienced restructuring and reform of primary health care since the 1980s, including the introduction of commercial clinics and increasing numbers of practices run by community-governed organizations. Our aim was to compare commercial, community-governed and traditional practices in five key domains: access; coordination and continuity of care; communication and patient centredness; population health and preventive health; and chronic disease management. METHODS: A nationally representative, multistage probability sample of private general practitioners, stratified by geographical location and practice type, was drawn. Representative samples of urban commercial clinics and of practices governed by community organizations were obtained for the same period (2001-02). All doctors were asked to provide data on themselves, their practice, and to report on a 25% sample of patients in two periods of one week. RESULTS: Among the three practice types, commercial clinics differed most in their organization; they charged higher fees and employed more staff, although their doctors were less experienced. Community-governed practices were visited by more people from lower socioeconomic groups. Commercial clinic patients were more likely to be younger and less likely to have an ongoing relationship with the clinic. They frequently attended for self-limiting problems related to injuries or respiratory problems. Investigations, follow-up and referral rates were similar between the three practice types. Treatment rates were higher at traditional and community-governed general practices. CONCLUSION: Rather than replicating traditional practices, new practice types provide complementary services and established services in innovative ways. The challenge is to achieve an appropriate mix of diverse providers.     

The "supply hypothesis" and medical practice variation in primary care: testing economic and clinical models of inter-practitioner variation

Medical practice variation (MPV) is marked, apparently ubiquitous across the health sector, well documented, and continues to be a focus of professional and policy interest. MPV have stimulated two paths of investigation, one economic in emphasis and the other more-clinical in orientation; while health economists have stressed the potential role of income incentives in medical decision-making, health services research has tended to emphasise clinical ambiguity as a factor in practitioner decisions. Both sets of explanations converge in an implicit "supply hypothesis" that posits contextual practitioner and practice attributes as influential in clinical decisions. Data on inter-practitioner variation are taken from a large and representative regional survey of general practitioners in New Zealand, a country in which unsubsidised fee-for-service is the predominant mode of remuneration in primary care. The paper assesses the impact on three important areas of clinical decision-making prescribing, test ordering, request for follow-up -- of three key conceptual dimensions -- income incentives, physician agency, and clinical ambiguity (operationalised as local doctor density, practitioner encounter initiation, and diagnostic uncertainty respectively). Predictions are made about inter-practitioner variations in the rate of clinical activity in the three areas. The results of the analysis using multi-level statistical techniques are: 1. the extent of competition -- local doctor density -- seems to have no effect on the pattern of clinical decision-making; 2. doctor-initiated visits are, if anything, associated with lower rates of intervention; 3. diagnostic uncertainty is associated with higher rates of investigations and follow-up, both of which have clinical plausibility; 4. there is no significant interaction effect between density and uncertainty. It is concluded that, for the clinical activities studied and for the practitioner attributes as operationalised in this investigation, a clinical, rather than an economic, model of practitioner decision-making provides a more plausible interpretation of inter-practitioner variation in rates of clinical activity in general practice. The "supply hypothesis" requires further analytical refinement and empirical assessment before it can be applied as a generic explanatory framework for MPV.