Challenges with Forecasting Budget Impact: A Case Study of Six ICER Reports

Background

Payers frequently rely on budget impact model (BIM) results to help determine drug coverage policy and its effect on their bottom line. It is unclear whether BIMs typically overestimate or underestimate real-world budget impact.

APOE2 allele increased in tardive dyskinesia.

Ninety-seven inpatients with tardive dyskinesia (average AIMS score = 13), the majority of whom were schizophrenic, were studied. Forty patients were Caucasian, and 57 were African-American. The APOE genotypes of these patients were compared to previously published genotypes of controls and with previously published studies of APOE genotypes in patients with schizophrenia. There were no significant differences in APOE allele frequencies comparing the African-American tardive dyskinesia population and the African-American control groups. In contrast, significant (< 0.05) P values were obtained comparing the Caucasian tardive dyskinesia population to the Caucasian controls, when comparing allele frequencies and genotypic frequencies. This study suggests that Caucasians bearing an APOE2 allele are at increased risk of developing tardive dyskinesia, whereas African-Americans are not. APOE genotype-specific risks of both tardive dyskinesia and Alzheimer's disease that vary across populations could be due to recruitment of patients or controls or could be due to modifying effects of differing genetic or environmental backgrounds. The mechanism by which the APOE2 allele increases risk of tardive dyskinesia is not known. Further information about the mechanisms of increased risk of tardive dyskinesia could result in stratification of prescribing practices weighing the costs of medications against the relative risk of side effects.     

Domiciliary oxygen: rationalization of supply in the Hunter region from 1982-1986

In October 1982, a clinic was planned at The Royal Newcastle Hospital to review the usage of domiciliary oxygen that was funded by the Provision of Aids for Disabled Persons scheme in the Hunter Region of New South Wales. Patient review included an assessment of the indications for domiciliary oxygen, education in the use of oxygen, the efficiency of delivery arrangements and the transfer from cylinders to concentrators as indicated. Between January and June 1983, 111 patients who were receiving oxygen at home were reviewed: 84 (76%) of these patients had chronic obstructive pulmonary disease; their two-year survival was 80% (95% confidence interval, 69%-87%) and five-year survival was 36% (95% confidence interval, 25%-46%). In 66 (59%) patients, review led to a reduction in the usage of domiciliary oxygen which was estimated to save $40,000 each year in the Hunter Region. In the year from 1985-1986 the decrease in the usage of oxygen at home represented an actual cost saving of $60,000 for the region ($470 per person) which translated into a saving of $95,000 ($740 per person) when inflation was taken into account. If our experience is projected nation-wide, the potential exists for a considerable cost saving by means of programmes to rationalize the use of domiciliary oxygen.     

Contribution of hypoxia-measuring molecular imaging techniques to radiotherapy planning and treatment

Hypoxia is related to poor prognosis because it is associated to chemo-and radioresistance. During recent years the evolution of imaging methods like PET/CT and MRI has meant the appearance of new perspectives with direct implications in radiation therapy. We discuss previous experiences in staging, planning and in the follow-up process with these techniques for measuring tumour hypoxia.     

Use of a violence risk assessment tool in an acute care hospital: effectiveness in identifying violent patients.

This study examined the use and effectiveness of the Alert assessment form. The form is part of the Alert system, used by one large acute care hospital to identify patients with a propensity for violence. All reported incidents of patient violence from August 1, 2003, through December 31, 2004, were included in patient charts. One hundred seventeen violent patient charts were reviewed and compared with 161 non-violent patient charts, randomly chosen from the same time period. Overall use of the Alert assessment form for violent and non-violent patients was 75.7% and 35.4%, respectively. The assessment form was found to have moderate sensitivity (71%) and high specificity (94%). It is reasonably effective in identifying potentially violent or aggressive patients when it is used according to protocol. Efforts to improve the tool are warranted, as is evaluation of its benefit in settings with low prevalence of violence. Also, greater effort must be taken to prevent violence once an aggressive patient has been identified.