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Julia Thornton Snider Jesse Sussell Mahlet Gizaw Tebeka Alicia Gonzalez Joshua T. Cohen Peter Neumann 《Value in health》2019,22(3):332-339
Background
Payers frequently rely on budget impact model (BIM) results to help determine drug coverage policy and its effect on their bottom line. It is unclear whether BIMs typically overestimate or underestimate real-world budget impact.Objective
We examined how different modeling assumptions influenced the results of 6 BIMs from the Institute for Clinical and Economic Review (ICER).Study Design
Retrospective analysis of pharmaceutical sales data.Methods
From ICER reports issued before 2016, we collected estimates of 3 BIM outputs: aggregate therapy cost (ie, cost to treat the patient population with a particular therapy), therapy uptake, and price. We compared these against real-world estimates that we generated using drug sales data. We considered 2 classes of BIM estimates: those forecasting future uptake of new agents, which assumed “unmanaged uptake,” and those describing the contemporaneous market state (ie, estimates of current, managed uptake and budget impact for compounds already on the market).Results
Differences between ICER's estimates and our own were largest for forecasted studies. Here, ICER's uptake estimates exceeded real-world estimates by factors ranging from 7.4 (sacubitril/valsartan) to 54 (hepatitis C treatments). The “unmanaged uptake” assumption (removed from ICER's approach in 2017) yields large deviations between BIM estimates and real-world consumption. Nevertheless, in some cases, ICER's BIMs that relied on current market estimates also deviated substantially from real-world sales data.Conclusions
This study highlights challenges with forecasting budget impact. In particular, assumptions about uptake and data source selection can greatly influence the accuracy of results. 相似文献5.
Andrew E. Springer Kayan Lewis Steven H. Kelder Maria E. Fernandez Cristina S. Barroso Deanna M. Hoelscher 《Journal of immigrant and minority health / Center for Minority Public Health》2010,12(5):769-780
Research on physical activity (PA) by level of acculturation in Hispanic children is limited and findings have been mixed.
We examined PA participation by primary language used with parents in a representative sample of 4th, 8th, and 11th grade
Texas public school students. Mixed-effects regression models were conducted using cross-sectional data from the 2004–2005
School Physical Activity and Nutrition Study (n = 22,049). Self-reported PA was compared among three language-ethnic groups: Spanish-Hispanic (SH) (referent); English-Hispanic
(EH); and English-Other (EO). EH and/or EO girls were generally between 1.25 and 2.58 [OR] times more likely to participate in PA across grade levels,
with the largest differences found for school sports in 8th grade girls. EH and EO 8th grade boys were 1.71 (CI: 1.40, 2.10)
and 2.06 (CI: 1.68, 2.51) times, respectively, more likely to participate in school sports. Findings indicate important disparities
in Spanish-speaking Hispanic children’s PA participation. 相似文献
6.
Carlos Ferrer Albiach Antonio Conde Moreno Marta Rodríguez Cordón Virginia Morillo Macías Ana Bouché Babiloni Inmaculada Beato Tortajada Ángel Sánchez Iglesias Alicia Francés Muñoz 《Clinical & translational oncology》2010,12(1):22-26
Hypoxia is related to poor prognosis because it is associated to chemo-and radioresistance. During recent years the evolution
of imaging methods like PET/CT and MRI has meant the appearance of new perspectives with direct implications in radiation
therapy. We discuss previous experiences in staging, planning and in the follow-up process with these techniques for measuring
tumour hypoxia. 相似文献
7.
Alicia E. Ronco M. Cecilia Sobrero Gustavo D. Bulus Rossini Pablo R. Alzuet Bernard J. Dutka 《Environmental toxicology》1995,10(1):35-39
Toxicity testing of sediment samples from the Rio Santiago and its main tributaries was performed using a battery of tests that included the ECHA dipstick biocide monitor, the MetPad test, the lettuce seed germination and the root elongation test, the nematode test, spot plate test, and the SOS Chromotest. Assessment was carried out on organic extracts, pore water, and direct sediment. Results of bioassays showed toxicity sources from tributaries and canals flowing into the river and areas being degraded by insults from industrial spills. © by John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 相似文献
8.
Abstract Pericardial tamponade remains a diagnostic challenge
to the clinician especially when the patient is well compensated
hemodynamically. We report an unusual case
who sought medical help 1 month after having been
stabbed in his chest. An investigation revealed a perforation
of the myocardium and a pericardial tamponade.
The patient survived thanks to a large organized clot
that plugged the perforation. The patient was exposed
to increased risk due to delayed onset, recognition, and
therapy of the tamponade. Most reports on this subject
deal with acute pericardial tamponade. Only few cases
of delayed pericardial tamponade have been reported.
A review of the relevant literature and the therapeutic
approaches are discussed. 相似文献
9.
Alicia Gómez-Barrio David Montero-Pereira Juan J. Nogal-Ruiz José A. Escario Susana Muelas-Serrano Vladimir V. Kouznetsov Leonor Y. Vargas Méndez Juan M. Urbina Gonzáles Carmen Ochoa 《Acta parasitologica / Witold Stefański Institute of Parasitology, Warszawa, Poland》2006,51(1):73-78
A study of some antiparasitic properties of several homoallylamines and related tetrahydroquinolines and quinolines, previously
described, was carried out using in vitro activity assays against the epimastigote form of Trypanosoma cruzi and against Trichomonas vaginalis. Unspecific cytotoxicity against murine macrophages was also studied. Although the antichagasic and trichomonacidal activities
are not comparable to those of the standard drugs, nifurtimox and metronidazole, some of the compounds exhibit an interesting
specific antiparasitic activity. 相似文献
10.
J M Barbero A I Ezpeleta M López Gil J L Barroso F García-Cosío 《Revista espa?ola de cardiología》1991,44(7):485-487
A 76-year-old woman with an inferior wall myocardial infarction, with right ventricular involvement, developed severe arterial hypoxemia with neurological involvement. Pulmonary edema or embolism and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease were ruled-out, and a right-to-left shunt was demonstrated by contrast echocardiography at the level of the foramen ovale. After inotropic support and oxygen supplementation, the patient recovered, although with significant neurological sequelae. No focal lesions were detected in the central nervous system by computerized tomography. Hypoxemia improved, coinciding with the disappearance of right-to-left shunt by contrast echocardiography. 相似文献