The probability of treatment success,failure and duration—what can be learned from empirical data to support decision making in clinical practice?

Empirical methods have been found to be superior to clinical judgment for the purpose of correctly identifying patients at risk for treatment failure and, hence, to enhance psychotherapy outcomes. The development and evaluation of an empirical approach aimed at supporting clinical decisions during the course of psychotherapy is described. The tool provides predictions based on a patient‐specific sampling strategy called the nearest neighbors method and on growth curve approaches to model an expected treatment course for each patient. Using session‐by‐session data from an outpatient center in the US (N = 4365), this new empirically derived decision model was evaluated and compared with a clinically based approach loosely based on an adaptation of clinically significant change concepts. The empirically derived decision system was found to be superior to the rational clinically based one in almost all measures of prediction accuracy, indicating its potential to identify patients at risk for treatment failure. Copyright © 2006 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Evaluation of postsurgical crestal bone levels adjacent to non‐submerged dental implants

In most of the studies on long-term radiographic evaluations of crestal bone levels adjacent to dental implants, no baseline radiographs taken immediately post-surgically had been obtained.The aim of this study was to test the reproducibility of a simple radiographic method for linear measurements of changes in bone levels and to evaluate changes in crestal bone levels adjacent co non-submerged ITI® implants 1 year following the surgical procedure. From 128 patients enrolled in a clinical and radiographic longitudinal study 40 patients also had radiographs taken immediately postsurgically. They were, however, not obtained as “identical” images. The radiographs were mounted onto slides and projected on a screen. Mesially and distally from 57 implants triplicate linear measurements of the distance implant shoulder to bone crest were taken, using known dimensions of the implants as internal reference distances. The median difference of 213 (out of 228 possible) duplicate measurements was 0.00 mm (ranging from ?1.72 mm to +1.47 mm when comparing the second co the third reading). Some 81% of the double measurements were within ±0.5 mm and the precision was 0.30 mm. In the immediate postoperative radiographs the median mesial bone level was located at 2.07 mm (distally 2.19 mm) from the implant shoulder. A statistically significant amount of bone loss in the first year was observed mesially (median=?0.78 mm) and distally (0.85 mm)(Wilcoxon matched pairs signed rank test ±0.001). No statistically significant influence of the implant location, the implant length, type of the implant (screw; cylinder) was observed (Kruskal-Wallis P>0.05).The age of the patients was not correlated significantly to the amount of bone loss observed. In conclusion, methodological limitations existed when evaluating linear bone changes in non-identical radiographs using reference dimensions of the implants. The amount of postsurgical bone loss estimated in other studies was confirmed when using an immediate postoperative radiograph as a baseline.     

Development ofDipetalonema viteae third-stage larvae (Nematoda: Filarioidea) in micropore chambers implanted into jirds,hamsters, normal and immunized mice

Summary Development of third-stage larvae ofDipetalonema viteae within subcutaneously implanted micropore chambers proceeded in all hosts tested up to the fourth-stage larvae and occasionally to adolescent worms. In the jird the timing of development was comparable to a natural infection. Although the mouse is an insusceptible host, larval development could take place, but was very slow. Two intraperitoneal inoculations of living thirdstage larvae into mice induced the production of antibodies against the larval cuticle and against common antigens. In such immune mice the development of third- and fourth-stage larvae within micropore chambers was significantly inhibited, larval mortality was increased, and the larval motility was impaired.     

In Situ Detection of Apoptosis at Sites of Chronic Bacterially Induced Inflammation in Human Gingiva

Apoptosis is a key phenomenon in the regulation of the life span of terminally differentiated leukocytes. Human gingiva represents an established model to study immune responses to bacterial infection. In this investigation, we used the TUNEL (terminal deoxynucleotidyltransferase-mediated dUTP-biotin nick end labeling) technique to evaluate presence and topographic location of apoptosis-associated DNA damage in human gingival biopsies along with the expression of the p53 and Bcl-2 apoptosis-regulating proteins. Qualitative data analysis showed high densities of cells expressing DNA damage and p53 both within the epithelial attachment to the tooth and in the perivascular infiltrate (infiltrated connective tissue [ICT]) immediately underlying the site of chronic bacterial aggression. Topographic consistency between DNA damage- and p53-positive cells was consistently observed. Quantitative analysis of the ICT showed mean densities of DNA damage- and p53-positive cells of 345 ± 278 and 403 ± 182 cells/mm², respectively. Numerical consistency was confirmed by multivariate regression analysis: densities of DNA damage-positive cells were significantly predicted by densities of p53-positive cells (P = 0.001, r² = 0.84). In the ICT, cells displaying biotinylated DNA nicks were 3.8% ± 2.7% of total cellularity, while p53- and Bcl-2-positive cells represented 4.4% ± 1.7% and 15.4% ± 6.7% of total cells, respectively. It is suggested that p53 expression associated with DNA damage is a prevalent phenomenon in chronically inflamed human gingiva, and that apoptosis may be a relevant process for the maintenance of local immune homeostasis at sites of chronic bacterial challenge in vivo.     

Immediate effects of aortic valve replacement on left ventricular function and its determinants

Replacement of the aortic valve exposes the left ventricle to myocardial ischaemia and imposes on it abrupt changes in loading conditions and geometry. We studied the immediate changes in the left ventricular function of patients undergoing aortic valve replacement by transoesophageal echocardiography. Patients with aortic regurgitation responded to surgery with a decrease in global systolic function associated with a fall in preload. Patients with aortic stenosis showed an impairment in myocardial contractility and ventricular filling, and their global systolic function did not improve despite the marked reduction in afterload. This can be a consequence of inadequate myocardial protection and intra-operative ischaemic injury of the hypertrophic myocardium. Information provided by transoesophageal echocardiography contributes to optimal and individualized management of the period immediately after aortic valve replacement.     

Age does not influence early and late tumor-related outcome for bronchogenic carcinoma

BACKGROUND: The influence of age on early and late outcome after surgical resection of bronchogenic carcinoma is unknown. In an attempt to clarify this issue, we reviewed the outcome of 212 consecutive patients with primary lung cancer who had surgical treatment for bronchogenic carcinoma. METHODS: Ninety-two patients were younger than 50 years (group 1), and 120 patients were older than 70 years of age (group 2). Squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma were the most common histologic types in both groups. According to the new international staging classification, a similar proportion of stage I, II, and III were observed in both groups. RESULTS: Only the rate of pneumonectomy was significantly higher in younger patients (41% versus 22%, p = 0.002). The overall operative mortality rate in group 1 was 2.2% and 2.6% after pneumonectomy. In group 2 the overall mortality rate was 2.5% and 3.8% after pneumonectomy. Advanced age did not affect operative mortality. The adjusted (tumor-related) survival rate at 5 years was 56% in group 1 and 53% in group 2 (p = 0.93). The adjusted survival rate for patients with stage I was 61% in group 1 and 65% in group 2 (p = 0.21), and for stage IIIa 39% in group 1 and 48% in group 2 (p = 0.43). The adjusted 5-year survival rate was 56% in group 1 and 59% in group 2 for squamous cell carcinoma (p = 0.53) and 49% in group 1 and 42% in group 2 for adenocarcinoma (p = 0.76). CONCLUSIONS: Perioperative risk and midterm survival were similar in younger and older patients after surgical resection of bronchogenic carcinoma. We believe that this result is because surgical candidates constitute already a highly selected group of patients. From these data it is not possible to conclude that biologic behavior of lung cancer is more aggressive in younger patients.