Low potential for evolutionary rescue from climate change in a tropical fish

Climate change is increasing global temperatures and intensifying the frequency and severity of extreme heat waves. How organisms will cope with these changes depends on their inherent thermal tolerance, acclimation capacity, and ability for evolutionary adaptation. Yet, the potential for adaptation of upper thermal tolerance in vertebrates is largely unknown. We artificially selected offspring from wild-caught zebrafish (Danio rerio) to increase (Up-selected) or decrease (Down-selected) upper thermal tolerance over six generations. Selection to increase upper thermal tolerance was also performed on warm-acclimated fish to test whether plasticity in the form of inducible warm tolerance also evolved. Upper thermal tolerance responded to selection in the predicted directions. However, compared to the control lines, the response was stronger in the Down-selected than in the Up-selected lines in which evolution toward higher upper thermal tolerance was slow (0.04 ± 0.008 °C per generation). Furthermore, the scope for plasticity resulting from warm acclimation decreased in the Up-selected lines. These results suggest the existence of a hard limit in upper thermal tolerance. Considering the rate at which global temperatures are increasing, the observed rates of adaptation and the possible hard limit in upper thermal tolerance suggest a low potential for evolutionary rescue in tropical fish living at the edge of their thermal limits.

Globally, both mean and extreme environmental temperatures are increasing due to climate change with mean temperatures predicted to increase by 0.3–4.8 °C by the end of the century (1, 2). Aquatic ectotherms are particularly vulnerable to rising temperatures as their body temperature closely tracks the environmental temperature (3). These organisms can avoid thermal stress by migrating to cooler waters, acclimating, and/or adapting genetically (4–6). For species with a limited dispersal ability (e.g., species from shallow freshwater habitats; ref. 7), acclimation and evolutionary adaptation are the only possible strategies. Furthermore, for ectotherms living at the edge of their upper thermal limits, an increase in extreme temperatures may generate temperature peaks that exceed physiological limits and cause high mortality (5, 8–10). Although this is expected to cause strong selection toward higher upper thermal tolerance, it is largely unknown, particularly within vertebrates, whether and at what rate organisms may adapt by evolving their thermal limits (11–14). These are important issues because constrained or limited evolvability (15) of upper thermal tolerance could lead to population extinctions as climate change increases the severity of heat waves.Ectotherms can also increase their thermal limits through physiological and biochemical adjustments, in a process known as thermal acclimation when they are exposed to elevated temperatures for a period of time (16, 17). Thermal acclimation, sometimes called thermal compensation, is here used interchangeably with the term physiological plasticity as outlined by Seebacher et al. (18). In the wild, individuals may experience days or weeks of warmer temperatures prior to a thermal extreme. Through physiological plasticity, the severity of an ensuing thermal extreme may be reduced, thus increasing the chance for survival (19). Furthermore, in some cases, adaptation can be accelerated by plasticity (20–22). This requires that the physiological mechanisms responsible for acclimation are also (at least partly) involved in the acute response; that is, that there is a positive genetic correlation between physiological plasticity and (acute) upper thermal tolerance. It is therefore crucial to quantify the evolutionary potential of upper thermal tolerance of fish populations threatened by climate change (23, 24) and to understand the link between the evolutionary response of upper thermal tolerance and physiological plasticity.Previously detected evolution of upper thermal tolerance generally points toward a slow process (12, 13, 25–31). However, estimates of the evolutionary potential in upper thermal tolerance mostly come from studies on Drosophila (12, 25, 27, 32), and empirical evidence in aquatic ectotherms and specifically vertebrates is limited. The few studies that have been performed on fish show disparate responses to selection on heat tolerance even within the same species. Baer and Travis (33) detected no response to selection yet Doyle et al. (34) and Klerks et al. (28) detected selection responses with heritabilities of 0.2 in killifish (Heterandria formosa). Despite the typical asymmetry of thermal performance curves (3, 35), studies in vertebrates are limited to unidirectional estimates of evolutionary potential (28, 31, 33) or do not account for the direction of evolution when estimating heritability in upper thermal tolerance from breeding designs (36, 37). Furthermore, while several studies have found that populations with different thermal histories have evolved different levels of heat tolerance (29–31), we still lack a good understanding of how physiological plasticity within a generation, in response to a short heat exposure, interacts with genetic changes during evolution of thermal tolerance.To investigate possible asymmetry in the evolutionary potential of upper thermal tolerance in a vertebrate species, we artificially selected offspring of wild-caught zebrafish (Danio rerio) to increase and decrease upper thermal tolerance for six generations. Furthermore, to disentangle the contribution of acclimation from the genetic response to increase upper thermal tolerance, we selected two lines that were exposed to a period of warm acclimation prior to a thermal challenge. The size (>20,000 phenotyped fish) and duration (six generations) of this study are unique in a vertebrate species for a climate change-relevant selection experiment, and the results provide critical and robust information on how tropical fish may adapt to a changing climate.Being a freshwater and tropical species, zebrafish are likely to be especially vulnerable to climate change (7, 38). In the wild, zebrafish can already be found living only a few degrees below their thermal limits (17, 39) and live in shallow streams and pools (40) that have the potential to rapidly warm during heat waves. Zebrafish therefore represent a species living at the edge of its thermal limit in which rapid adaptation of thermal tolerance would be particularly beneficial for its survival. Wild-caught zebrafish originating from different sites in West Bengal, India (17, 40), were used to maximize the genetic diversity of the parental population. These wild-caught zebrafish (n = 2,265) served as parents of the starting F₀ generation (n = 1,800) on which we selected upper thermal tolerance for six generations. Upper thermal tolerance was measured as the critical thermal maximum (CT_max), a commonly used measure of an organism’s acute upper thermal tolerance (16, 41). CT_max is defined as the temperature at which an individual loses equilibrium (i.e., uncontrolled and disorganized swimming in zebrafish; ref. 42) during thermal ramping. Measuring CT_max is rapid, repeatable, and does not appear to harm zebrafish (42). CT_max is ecologically relevant because it is highly correlated with both tolerance to slow warming (43) and to the upper temperature range boundaries of wild aquatic ectotherms (9).Our selection experiment consisted of four treatment groups (Up-selected, Down-selected, Acclimated Up-selected, and Control) with two replicate lines in each treatment. We established these lines by selecting fish on their CT_max in the F₀ generation with each line consisting of 150 individuals (see Methods for further details of F₀ generation). The offspring of those fish formed the F₁ generation that consisted of 450 offspring in each line. At each generation, the Up, Down, and Control lines were all held at optimal temperature (28 °C) (39), whereas the Acclimated Up-selected lines were acclimated to a supraoptimal temperature (32 °C) for 2 wk prior to selection (17). From the F₁ to F₆ generations, we measured CT_max for all 450 fish in each line and selected the 33% with the highest CT_max in the Up-selected and in the Acclimated Up-selected lines, and the 33% with the lowest CT_max in the Down-selected lines. In the Control lines, 150 fish were randomly selected, measured, and retained. Thus, CT_max was measured on a total of 3,000 fish per generation and 150 individuals remained in each of the eight lines after selection, forming the parents for the next generation. The nonselected lines (Control) represented a control for the Up-selected and Down-selected lines, while the Up-selected lines represented a control for the Acclimated Up-selected lines, because these two treatments solely differed by the acclimation period to which the latter were exposed before selection. Thus, differences in CT_max between Up-selected and Acclimated Up-selected lines represent the contribution of physiological plasticity to upper thermal tolerance. If the difference between these two treatments increases during selection, it would suggest that plasticity increases during adaptation to higher CT_max (i.e., the slope the reaction norm describing the relationship between CT_max and acclimation temperature would become steeper).After six generations of selection, upper thermal tolerance had evolved in both the Up-selected and the Down-selected lines (Fig. 1). In the Up-selected lines, upper thermal tolerance increased by 0.22 ± 0.05 °C ($\bar{x}$ ± 1 SE) compared to the Control lines whereas the Down-selected lines displayed a mean upper thermal tolerance 0.74 ± 0.05 °C lower than the Control (Fig. 1B; estimates for replicated lines combined). The asymmetry in the response to selection was confirmed by the estimated realized heritability, which was more than twice as high in the Down-selected lines (h² = 0.24; 95% CI: 0.19–0.28) than in the Up-selected lines (h² = 0.10; 95% CI: 0.05–0.14; Fig. 2).Open in a separate windowFig. 1.Upper thermal tolerance (CT_max) of wild-caught zebrafish over six episodes of selection. Duplicated lines were selected for increased (Up-selected, orange lines and triangles) and decreased (Down-selected, blue lines and squares) upper thermal tolerance. In addition, we had two Control lines (green dashed lines and diamonds). The Up, Down, and Control lines were all acclimated to a temperature of 28 °C. In addition, two lines were selected for increased upper thermal tolerance after 2 wk of warm acclimation at 32 °C (Acclimated Up-selected, red lines and circles). At each generation, the mean and 95% CIs of each line are shown (n ∼ 450 individuals per line). (A) Absolute upper thermal tolerance values. (B) The response to selection in the Up and Down lines centered on the Control lines (dashed green line). Difference between Up-selected and Acclimated-Up lines are shown in Fig. 3. The rate of adaptation (°C per generation) is reported for each treatment using estimates obtained from linear mixed effects models using the Control-centered response in the Up-selected and Down-selected lines and the absolute response for the Acclimated-Up lines (SE = ±0.01 °C in all lines).Open in a separate windowFig. 2.Realized heritability (h²) of upper thermal tolerance (CT_max) in wild-caught zebrafish. The realized heritability was estimated for each treatment as the slope of the regression of the cumulative response to selection on the cumulative selection differential using mixed effect models passing through the origin with replicate as a random effect. Slopes are presented with their 95% CIs (shaded area) for the Down-selected lines (blue) and Up-selected lines (orange). Data points represent the mean of each replicate line (n ∼ 450) over six generations of selection. Average selection differentials are 0.57 (Down) and 0.39 (Up), respectively, see SI Appendix, Table S1 for more information.At the start of the experiment (F₀), warm acclimation (32 °C) increased thermal tolerance by 1.31 ± 0.05 °C (difference in CT_max between the Up-selected and Acclimated Up-selected lines in Figs. 1A and ​and3),3), which translates to a 0.3 °C change in CT_max per 1 °C of warming. In the last generation, the effect of acclimation had decreased by 25%, with the Acclimated-Up lines having an average CT_max 0.98 ± 0.04 °C higher than the Up lines (Fig. 3). This suggests that, despite a slight increase in CT_max in the Acclimated Up-selected lines during selection, the contribution of plasticity decreased over the course of the experiment.Open in a separate windowFig. 3.Contribution of acclimation to the upper thermal tolerance in the Acclimated-Up selected lines at each generation of selection. The contribution of acclimation was estimated as the difference between the Up and Acclimated-Up selected lines. Points and error bars represent the estimates (±SE) from a linear mixed effects model with CT_max as the response variable; Treatment (factor with two levels: Up and Acclimated Up), Generation (factor with seven levels), and their interaction as the predictor variables; and replicate line as a random factor.During the experiment, the phenotypic variation of CT_max that was left-skewed at F₀ increased in the Down-selected lines and decreased in the Up-selected lines (Fig. 4). At the F₆ generation, phenotypic variance was four times lower in the Up-selected lines (0.09 ± 0.01 and 0.12 ± 0.02 °C²; variance presented for each replicate line separately and SE obtained by nonparametric bootstrapping) than in the Down-selected lines (0.41 ± 0.03 and 0.50 ± 0.04 °C²), which had doubled since the start of the experiment (F₀: 0.20 ± 0.01 °C², see SI Appendix, Fig. S1). In the Acclimated Up-selected lines, the phenotypic variance that was already much lower than the Control at the F₀ also decreased and reached 0.06 ± 0.01 °C² and 0.07 ± 0.01 °C² for the two replicates at the last generation (SI Appendix, Fig. S1).Open in a separate windowFig. 4.Distribution of upper thermal tolerance (CT_max) in selected lines. (A) Distribution for each line at each generation (F₀ to F₆). In the F₀ generation, histograms show the preselection distribution in gray for the nonacclimated fish, in dark green for the Control lines, and in red for the Acclimated-Up fish. In all subsequent generations the Down-selected lines are in blue, the Up-selected lines in yellow, the Control lines in dark green, and Acclimated-up lines in red. All treatments use two shades, one for each replicate line. Dashed lines represent the mean CT_max for each line (n ∼ 450 individuals). (B) Distribution of upper thermal tolerance at the start (F₀, in gray) and the end (F₆, in blue and yellow) of the experiment for the Up-selected and Down-selected lines. The dashed gray line represents the mean of the Up-selected and Down-selected lines in the F₀ generation preselection (n ∼ 900 individuals). Dashed blue and yellow lines represent the mean CT_max for Up and Down-selected lines for the F₆ generation (n ∼ 450 individuals).Together with the asymmetrical response to selection and the lower response of the Acclimated Up-selected lines, these changes in phenotypic variance suggest the existence of a hard-upper limit for thermal tolerance (e.g., major protein denaturation (44), similar to the “concrete ceiling” for physiological responses to warming (14)). Such a hard-upper limit is expected to generate a nonlinear mapping of the genetic and environmental effects on the phenotypic expression of CT_max. This nonlinearity will affect the phenotypic variance of CT_max when mean CT_max approaches its upper limit (SI Appendix, Fig. S2A). For example, with directional selection toward higher CT_max, genetic changes in upper thermal tolerance will translate into progressively smaller phenotypic changes. Similarly, warm acclimation that shifts CT_max upwards will also decrease phenotypic variation in CT_max (see differences in phenotypic variance between control and Acclimated lines at the F₀). This hard ceiling can also explain why an evolutionary increase in CT_max reduces the magnitude of physiological plasticity in CT_max achieved after a period of acclimation (Fig. 3 and see SI Appendix, Fig. S2B). If the sum of the genetic and plastic contributions to CT_max cannot exceed a ceiling value, this should generate a zero-sum gain between the genetic and plastic determinants of thermal tolerance. An increase in the genetic contribution to CT_max via selection should thus decrease the contribution of plasticity. Selection for a higher CT_max should therefore negatively affect the slope of the reaction norm of thermal acclimation because acclimation will increase CT_max more strongly at low than high acclimation temperature (SI Appendix, Fig. S2B).To test this hypothesis, we measured CT_max in all selected lines at the final generation (F₆) after acclimation to 24, 28, and 32 °C. At all three acclimation temperatures, the Acclimated-Up lines did not differ from the Up-selected lines (average difference 0.14 ± 0.08 °C; 0.12 ± 0.09 °C; 0.14 ± 0.09 °C; at 24, 28, and 32 °C respectively; Fig. 5). This suggests that warm acclimation prior to selection did not affect the response to selection. However, considering the within-treatment differences in CT_max between fish acclimated to 28 and 32 °C, we show that the gain in CT_max due to acclimation decreases in both the Up and Acclimated-Up treatments compared to the Control and Down treatments (SI Appendix, Fig. S3). This confirms a loss of thermal plasticity in both Up-selected treatments (Up and Acclimated-Up) at higher acclimation temperatures. Notably, the loss of thermal plasticity is not evident in fish acclimated to 24 and 28 °C, possibly because at these temperatures CT_max remains further away from its hard upper limit.Open in a separate windowFig. 5.Upper thermal tolerance (CT_max) of the selected lines measured at the last generation (F₆) after acclimation at 24, 28, and 32 °C. The response is calculated as the mean difference in upper thermal tolerance (CT_max) relative to the Control lines. Large points and whiskers represent mean ±1 SE for each treatment (n = 120 individuals): Up-selected (orange triangles), Down-selected (blue squares), Acclimated Up-selected (red circles), and Control (green diamonds). Smaller translucent points represent means of each replicate line (n = 60 individuals). See SI Appendix, Fig. S3 for absolute CT_max values and model estimates.Acclimated Up-selected lines are perhaps the most ecologically relevant in our selection experiment. In the wild, natural selection on upper thermal tolerance may not result from increasing mean temperatures but through rapid heating events such as heat waves (45). During heat waves, temperature may rise for days before reaching critical temperatures. This gives individuals the possibility to acclimate and increase their upper thermal tolerance prior to peak temperatures. Our results show that while warm acclimation allowed individuals to increase their upper thermal tolerance, it did not increase the magnitude or the rate of adaptation of upper thermal tolerance.For the past two decades it has been recognized that rapid evolution, at ecological timescales, occurs and may represent an essential mechanism for the persistence of populations in rapidly changing environments (24, 46, 47). Yet, in the absence of an explicit reference, rates of evolution are often difficult to categorize as slow or rapid (48). For traits related to thermal tolerance or thermal performance, this issue is complicated by the fact that the scale on which traits are measured (temperature in °C) cannot meaningfully be transformed to a proportional scale. This prevents us from comparing rates of evolution between traits related to temperature with other traits measured on different scales (49, 50). However, for thermal tolerance, the rate of increase in ambient temperature predicted over the next century represents a particularly meaningful standard against which the rate of evolution observed in our study can be compared.In India and surrounding countries where zebrafish are native, heat waves are predicted to increase in frequency, intensity, and duration, and maximum air temperatures in some regions are predicted to exceed 44 °C in all future climate scenarios (51). Air temperature is a good predictor of water temperature in shallow ponds and streams where wild zebrafish are found (17, 40, 52, 53). Thus, strong directional selection on the thermal limits of zebrafish is very likely to occur in the wild. At first sight, changes in the upper thermal tolerance observed in our study (0.04 °C per generation) as well as the heritability estimates (Down-selected: h² = 0.24, Up-selected: h² = 0.10) similar to those obtained in fruit flies (Drosophila melanogaster) selected for acute upper thermal tolerance (Down-selected: h² = 0.19, Up-selected: h² = 0.12; ref. 12), suggest that zebrafish may just be able to keep pace with climate change and acutely tolerate temperatures of 44 °C predicted by the end of the century. However, several cautions make such an optimistic prediction unlikely.First, such an extrapolation assumes a generation time of 1 y, which is likely for zebrafish but unrealistic for many other fish species. Second, such a rate of evolution is associated with a thermal culling of two-thirds of the population at each generation, a strength of selection that may be impossible to sustain in natural populations exposed to other selection pressures such as predation or harvesting. Third, the heritability and rate of adaptation toward higher upper thermal tolerance observed here may be considered as upper estimates because of the potentially high genetic variance harbored by our parental population where samples from several sites were mixed. While mixing of zebrafish populations often occurs in the wild during monsoon flooding (54, 55), there are likely to be some isolated populations that may have a lower genetic diversity and adaptation potential than our starting population. Finally, and most importantly, the reduced phenotypic variance and decreased acclimation capacity with increasing CT_max observed in our study suggest the existence of a hard-upper limit to thermal tolerance that will lead to an evolutionary plateau similar to those reached in Drosophila selected for increased heat resistance over many generations (12, 56). Overall, the rate of evolution observed in our study is likely higher than what will occur in the wild and, based on this, it seems unlikely that zebrafish, or potentially other tropical fish species, will be able to acutely tolerate temperatures predicted by the end of the century. It is possible that other fish species, especially those living in cooler waters and with wider thermal safety margins, will display higher rates of adaptation than the ones we observed here, and more studies of this kind in a range of species are needed to determine whether slow adaptation of upper thermal tolerance is a general phenomenon.Transgenerational plasticity (e.g., epigenetics) has been suggested to modulate physiological thermal tolerance (57). However, the progressive changes in CT_max observed across generations in our study indicate that these changes were primarily due to genetic changes because effects of transgenerational plasticity are not expected to accumulate across generations. Therefore, the effects of transgenerational plasticity in the adaptation of upper thermal tolerance may be insufficient to mitigate impacts of climate change on zebrafish, yet the potential contribution of transgenerational plasticity is still an open question.By phenotyping more than 20,000 fish over six generations of selection, we show that evolution of upper thermal tolerance is possible in a vertebrate over short evolutionary time. However, the evolutionary potential for increased upper thermal tolerance is low due to the slow rate of adaptation compared to climate warming, as well as the diminishing effect of acclimation as adaptation progresses. Our results thus suggest that fish populations, especially warm water species living close to their thermal limits, may struggle to adapt with the rate at which water temperatures are increasing.     

Lebensentwürfe junger Frauen

Initially, data are presented which describe the difficulties which young women have in obtaining economic independence and earning their own living. Next, the vocational orientation of young women will be described. We hope to make clear that young women are more oriented towards grounding a family, in addition to making a career, than young men. The difficulties of having both children and a career will be discussed. Until now, an egalitarian responsibility of mother and father has not been reached. Mothers have the main responsibility in almost all cases. Finally, the article will list some urgent measures required to give women equal opportunities in work and to ease a young couple’s decision to have children.     

发挥远程教育优势推进医学继续教育发展

《教育部关于加强高校网络教育学院管理提高教学质量的若干意见》中强调指出：高校网络教育学院要以在职人员的继续教育为主，要充分发挥网络教育的优势，为在职人员更新知识、增强技能、不断学习、不断提高提供良好的服务。然而，要使医学院校在开展继续教育中发挥更大的作用，推进医学继续教育的发展，远程教育不仅是解决这一问题的有效途径，而且将成为开展医学继续教育的强大动力。     

Conus ependymoma with holocord syringohydromyelia and syringobulbia.

We report a 24-year-old woman with an intramedullary conus ependymoma associated with holocord syringohydromyelia and syringobulbia. The tumor was removed and surgery for decompression of the syringohydromyelia was not considered at the first operation. In the follow-up examinations, MRI showed significant and steady improvement of syringohydromyelia. Symptoms associated with syringohydromyelia also disappeared. The cause of syringohydromyelia accompanying intradural spinal cord tumors appears to be either direct blockade of the central canal or secondary interruption of the central canal flow by compression of the perimedullary cerebrospinal fluid flow. As removal of the mass often corrects both these likely causes of the syringohydromyelia, no additional treatment for the drainage of the hydromyelia cavity syrinx is usually necessary.     

Observations on pathological and histochemical changes in piglet livers infected with Taenia saginata asiatica

To study the pathological and histochemical characteristics of lesions in piglet livers infected with Taenia saginata asiatica (T. saginata asiatica) throughout the different stages, piglets were fed with eggs of T. saginata asiatica and raised in isolation in an animal center to establish the T. saginata asiatica infection model with normal piglets as control. The pathological changes in the piglet livers were observed after the infection using liver sections stained with hematoxylin and eosin. Histochemical methods were used to check the changes in lipid, glycogen and protein content in the liver. The data collected by image analysis were analyzed statistically with Statistical Package for the Social Science. The results show that T. saginata asiatica-exposed piglets were indeed infected. Inflammatory reactions began on the fourth day and progressed rapidly. Kupffer cell hyperplasia, hepatic hydropic degeneration and ballooning degeneration were found in the 10th–20th days after infection. Hepatic central veins and hepatic sinusoids were dilated and congested. Spotty necrosis occurred in some local liver tissues. In the 40th–60th days, granulomatous reactions and mild hepatocirrhosis were the main lesions. In the 70th–80th days, hepatocirrhosis and bile duct proliferation were observed in the liver. In the different stages, lipid drops were increased while glycogen and protein levels were decreased to some degree. There was a significant difference in metabolism between the infected group and the control group (P < 0.01). It is concluded that pigs are the favorable intermediate host of T. saginata asiatica and its infection can result in serious pathological and histochemical lesions in host organs. Translated from Journal of Guiyang Medical College, 2006, 31(4): 296–300 [译自: 贵阳医学院学报]     

Effects of oral continuous 17beta-estradiol plus norethisterone acetate replacement therapy on abdominal subcutaneous fat, serum leptin levels and body composition.

AIM: To evaluate the effects of oral continuous 17beta-estradiol plus norethisterone acetate (E2/NETA) replacement therapy on abdominal subcutaneous fat, serum leptin level (SLL) and body composition in postmenopausal women. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A 6-month, prospective, randomized, double-blind and placebo-controlled study was conducted. Forty-three healthy naturally postmenopausal women aged 43-65 years were randomly assigned to receive E2/NETA (2 mg E2 plus 1 mg NETA, n = 22) or placebo (n = 21). Fasting SLL by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, subcutaneous abdominal fat thickness (STh) by ultrasound and the anthropometric indices of body weight (BW), body mass index (BMI), waist and hip circumference (WC, HC) and waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) were recorded at the beginning and the end of the study. RESULTS: After 6 months of therapy, BW and SLL increased in the placebo group (p = 0.043 and 0.033, respectively). WC, HC and STh decreased significantly in the E2/NETA group (p = 0.002, 0.006 and 0.000, respectively) and they were also significantly lower in women receiving E2/NETA than in women taking placebo (p = 0.000, 0.034 and 0.000, respectively). At baseline, SLL and STh were positively correlated with all anthropometric indices except WHR. CONCLUSION: Oral continuous combined regimen of E2/NETA significantly reduced central fat accumulation as assessed by WC and STh, and attenuated the increase in SLL. The observed changes in SLL were highly and positively related to changes in STh. The oral continuous combined E2/NETA regimen appears to have protective effects on cardiovascular function and probably on metabolic diseases by its slimming effect upon WC in postmenopausal women.     

三种方案治疗小儿肺炎的药物经济学研究

目的：比较三种方案治疗小儿细菌性肺炎的效率（即费用－效果）。方法：2001年－2002年采用前瞻性随性临床试验A组50例，B组50例，C组50例作为分析模型，以深圳市二级甲等医院收费为标准，采用决策树的分析方法，进行费用一效果分析。结果：每治疗1例有效病人，A、B、C三组方案的期望成本分别为4707．45元，3052．51元，结论：同时考虑临床疗效及医疗费用，C组有最好的费用－效果，值得临床推广应用。     

Effects of di-(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate and five of its metabolites on rat testis in vivo and in in vitro

In an attempt to establish which compound or compounds are responsible for the testicular damage observed after administration of di-(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate (DEHP) in rats, the effects of the parent compound and five of its major metabolites (mono-(2-ethylhexyl) phthalate (MEHP), 2-ethylhexanol (2-EH), mono-(5-carboxy-2-ethylpentyl) phthalate, mono-(2-ethyl-5-oxohexyl) phthalate and mono-(2-ethyl-5-hydroxyhexyl) phthalate) were investigated in vivo and in vitro. The concentrations of MEHP and the three MEHP-derived metabolites in plasma were determined after single and multiple oral doses of DEHP. The plasma concentrations and areas under the plasma concentration-time curves (AUC's) of each of the MEHP-derived metabolites were considerably lower than those of MEHP both after single and after repeated administration of 2.7 mmol of DEHP/kg body weight. The mean elimination half-life of MEHP was significantly shorter in animals given repetitive doses than in those given a single dose, but there was no statistically significant difference between the mean AUC values. No testicular damage was observed in young rats given oral doses of 2.7 mmol of DEHP or 2-EH/kg body weight daily for five days. In animals which received corresponding doses of MEHP the number of degenerated spermatocytes and spermatids was increased, whereas no such effects were found in animals given the MEHP-derived metabolites. MEHP was also the only compound that enhanced germ cell detachment from mixed primary cultures of Sertoli and germ cells.