Impact of COVID‐19 on access to healthcare in low‐ and middle‐income countries: Current evidence and future recommendations

The COVID‐19 pandemic continues to be a major public health threat globally and low‐ and middle‐income countries (LMICs) are not an exception. The impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic is far‐reaching on many areas including but not limited to global health security, economic and healthcare delivery with a potential impact on access to healthcare in LMICs. We evaluate the impact of the COVID‐19 pandemic on access to healthcare in LMICs, as well as plausible strategies that can be put in place to ensure that the delivery of healthcare is not halted. In order to mitigate the devastating effect of the COVID‐19 pandemic on the already weak health systems in LMICs, it is much necessary to reinforce and scale up interventions and proactive measures that will ensure that access to healthcare is not disrupted even in course of the pandemic.     

Risk assessment of Pakistani individuals for diabetes (RAPID)

ObjectiveTo develop and evaluate a risk score to predict people at high risk of developing type 2 diabetes in Pakistan.MethodologyCross sectional data regarding primary prevention of diabetes in Pakistan. Diabetes risk score was developed by using simple parameters namely age, waist circumference, and family history of diabetes. Odds ratios of the model were used to assign a score value for each variable and the diabetes risk score was calculated as the sum of those scores.ResultsWe externally validated the score using two data from 1264 subjects and 856 subjects aged 25 years and above from two separate studies respectively. Validating this score using the first data from the second screening study gave an area under the receive operator characteristics curve [AROC] of 0.758. A cut point of 4 had a sensitivity of 47.0% and specificity of 88% and in the second data AROC is 0.7 with 44% sensitivity and 89% specificity.ConclusionsA simple diabetes risk score, based on a set of variables can be used for the identification of high risk individuals for early intervention to delay or prevent type 2 diabetes in Pakistani population.     

Effectiveness of anemia and chronic kidney disease as predictors for presence and severity of coronary artery disease in patients undergoing stress myocardial perfusion study

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and anemia portend a higher risk of cardiac events and mortality. We sought to ascertain whether coronary artery disease (CAD) by myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography is more common in patients with CKD (glomerular filtration rate < or =60 ml/min/1.73 kg/m(2)) and/or anemia (hemoglobin level < or =13 g/L) and the impact of different degrees of CKD. One thousand five hundred eighty patients (mean age 65 +/- 10 years) underwent gated myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomography and clinical evaluation. Patients were divided into 4 groups (group 1, no anemia/no CKD, n = 800; group 2, anemia/no CKD, n = 195; group 3, CKD/no anemia, n = 332; group 4, anemia/CKD, n = 253). Multivariate logistic regression analysis was undertaken to examine the association of these diagnoses with abnormal myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomogram. Compared with patients with neither diagnosis, an abnormal scan was more common in those with anemia or CKD. Patients with anemia and CKD exhibited more severe CAD (mean summed stress score 6.8 vs 4.7, p <0.01). Established high-risk findings were more prevalent in patients with anemia and/or CKD, including a summed stress score > or =8, transient ischemic dilation, or a left ventricular ejection fraction < or =40% (group 1 28%, group 2 38%, group 3 38%, group 4 48%, all p values <0.01). Patients with moderate CKD demonstrated an increased risk of an abnormal scan (odds ratio 2.66, p <0.0001). After adjustment in multivariate analysis, anemia and CKD each remained predictors for an abnormal scan. The association was stronger in those with the 2 conditions (odds ratio for high-risk scan 1.89, p = 0.0002). In conclusion, in patients with suspected CAD, anemia and CKD are predictors of myocardial perfusion single-photon emission computed tomographic markers for worsened outcomes. The relation was independent of other risk factors, supporting the inclusion of anemia and CKD in global risk assessment for patients with suspected CAD.     

Treatment and surveillance of polypoid lesions of the gallbladder in the United Kingdom

Objectives

The increase in the routine use of abdominal imaging has led to a parallel surge in the identification of polypoid lesions in the gallbladder. True gallbladder polyps (GBP) have malignant potential and surgery can prevent or treat early gallbladder cancer. In an era of constraint on health care resources, it is important to ensure that surgery is offered only to patients who have appropriate indications. The aim of this study was to assess treatment and surveillance policies for GBP among hepatobiliary and upper gastrointestinal tract surgeons in the UK in the light of published evidence.

Methods

A questionnaire on the management of GBP was devised and sent to consultant surgeon members of the Association of Upper Gastrointestinal Surgeons (AUGIS) of Great Britain and Ireland with the approval of the AUGIS Committee. It included eight questions on indications for laparoscopic cholecystectomy and surveillance based on GBP (size, number, growth rate) and patient (age, comorbidities, ethnicity) characteristics.

Results

A total of 79 completed questionnaires were returned. The vast majority of surgeons (>75%) stated that they would perform surgery when a single GBP reached 10 mm in size. However, there was a lack of uniformity in the management of multiple polyps and polyp growth rate, with different surveillance protocols for patients treated conservatively.

Conclusions

Gallbladder polyps are a relatively common finding on abdominal ultrasound scans. The survey showed considerable heterogeneity among surgeons regarding treatment and surveillance protocols. Although no randomized controlled trials exist, national guidelines would facilitate standardization, the formulation of an appropriate algorithm and appropriate use of resources.