A mixed‐effect model for positive responses augmented by zeros

In this research article, we propose a class of models for positive and zero responses by means of a zero‐augmented mixed regression model. Under this class, we are particularly interested in studying positive responses whose distribution accommodates skewness. At the same time, responses can be zero, and therefore, we justify the use of a zero‐augmented mixture model. We model the mean of the positive response in a logarithmic scale and the mixture probability in a logit scale, both as a function of fixed and random effects. Moreover, the random effects link the two random components through their joint distribution and incorporate within‐subject correlation because of the repeated measurements and between‐subject heterogeneity. A Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm is tailored to obtain Bayesian posterior distributions of the unknown quantities of interest, and Bayesian case‐deletion influence diagnostics based on the q‐divergence measure is performed. We apply the proposed method to a dataset from a 24hour dietary recall study conducted in the city of São Paulo and present a simulation study to evaluate the performance of the proposed methods. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.     

Quantitative computed tomography and cranial burr holes: a model to evaluate the quality of cranial reconstruction in humans

Current methods to evaluate the biologic development of bone grafts in human beings do not quantify results accurately. Cranial burr holes are standardized critical bone defects, and the differences between bone powder and bone grafts have been determined in numerous experimental studies. This study evaluated quantitative computed tomography (QCT) as a method to objectively measure cranial bone density after cranial reconstruction with autografts. In each of 8 patients, 2 of 4 surgical burr holes were reconstructed with autogenous wet bone powder collected during skull trephination, and the other 2 holes, with a circular cortical bone fragment removed from the inner table of the cranial bone flap. After 12 months, the reconstructed areas and a sample of normal bone were studied using three-dimensional QCT; bone density was measured in Hounsfield units (HU). Mean (SD) bone density was 1535.89 (141) HU for normal bone (P < 0.0001), 964 (176) HU for bone fragments, and 453 (241) HU for bone powder (P < 0.001). As expected, the density of the bone fragment graft was consistently greater than that of bone powder. Results confirm the accuracy and reproducibility of QCT, already demonstrated for bone in other locations, and suggest that it is an adequate tool to evaluate cranial reconstructions. The combination of QCT and cranial burr holes is an excellent model to accurately measure the quality of new bone in cranial reconstructions and also seems to be an appropriate choice of experimental model to clinically test any cranial bone or bone substitute reconstruction.     

Factors associated with dengue mortality in Latin America and the Caribbean, 1995-2009: an ecological study

In this study, we aimed to estimate the effect that environmental, demographic, and socioeconomic factors have on dengue mortality in Latin America and the Caribbean. To that end, we conducted an observational ecological study, analyzing data collected between 1995 and 2009. Dengue mortality rates were highest in the Caribbean (Spanish-speaking and non-Spanish-speaking). Multivariate analysis through Poisson regression revealed that the following factors were independently associated with dengue mortality: time since identification of endemicity (adjusted rate ratio [aRR] = 3.2 [for each 10 years]); annual rainfall (aRR = 1.5 [for each 10(3) L/m(2)]); population density (aRR = 2.1 and 3.2 for 20-120 inhabitants/km(2) and > 120 inhabitants/km(2), respectively); Human Development Index > 0.83 (aRR = 0.4); and circulation of the dengue 2 serotype (aRR = 1.7). These results highlight the important role that environmental, demographic, socioeconomic, and biological factors have played in increasing the severity of dengue in recent decades.     

Effects of long-term water storage on the microtensile bond strength of five experimental self-etching adhesives based on surfactants rather than HEMA

Objectives

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the hypothesis that replacing 2-hydroxyethyl methacrylate (HEMA) for surfactant dimethacrylates (SD) does not affect the immediate and long-term microtensile bond strength (μTBS) of experimental two-step self-etch HEMA-free adhesive systems applied on dentin.

Materials and methods

Five experimental HEMA-free two-step self-etching systems containing different SD (ethoxylated bisphenol A diglycidyl dimethacrylate (Bis-EMA 10, B10), Bis-EMA 30 (B30), poly-ethyleneglycol (400) dimethacrylate (PEG 400, P400), PEG 1000 (P1000), and PEG 400 urethane dimethacrylate (UDMA) (UP400)) and a HEMA-containing system (control) (HA) were formulated. Specimens were subjected to the μTBS test after 24 h and 6 and 12 months of storage. Data (in megapascals) were analyzed by Kruskal–Wallis and Dunn tests (α?=?0.05).

Results

Medians of the μTBS data after 24 h of storage are: HA?=?57.2^A, B10?=?26.2^BC, B30?=?24.0^C, P400?=?32.6^BC, P1000?=?37.3^B, and UP400?=?57.9^A; after 6 months are: HA?=?47.9^A, B10?=?18.5^B, B30?=?7.8^C, P400?=?16.1^B, P1000?=?14.6^BC, and UP400?=?51.6^A; and after 12 months are: HA?=?31.2^A, B10?=?15.2^B, B30?=?9.0^B, P400?=?9.1^B, P1000?=?13.3^B, and UP400?=?35.7^A. Between the HEMA-free groups, the adhesive system formulated with PEG 400 UDMA produced similar μTBS to the HEMA-containing group. Also, the storage of specimens decreased the μTBS (p?<?0.05).

Conclusion

Replacing HEMA for PEG 400 UDMA in an adhesive system formulation generated a satisfactory μTBS to dentin.

Clinical relevance

Surfactant dimethacrylates have a potential use in the development of HEMA-free self-etching adhesive systems, which are more chemically stable.     

Dysplastic Cerebellar Epilepsy: Complete Seizure Control Following Resection of a Ganglioglioma

Subcortical epilepsy has been a controversial issue, partially settled by evidence showing seizure generation in hypothalamic hamartomas and also by reports of seizures caused by cerebellar lesions. We report 4-year-old girl with right hemifacial seizures and autonomic phenomena, in whom MRI showed an irregular mass in the right cerebellar peduncle. Despite several unremarkable video-EEG recordings, seizure origin in the lesion was hypothesized. Complete resection was feasible, histopathology showed a ganglioglioma, and she has been seizure free for 3 years. A fine line separates these developmental tumors from focal cortical dysplasia, and the homogeneous presentation of this entity led us to propose the terminology dysplastic cerebellar epilepsy.     

Spontaneous intraparenchymatous hematomas. Experience with 134 cases]

One hundred thirty four cases of spontaneous intraparenchymatous hematomas have been studied. They were separated into six groups according to criteria related to topography, level of consciousness, and hematoma volume. Treatment protocols--conservative, conservative with I.C.P. monitoring, and surgical--were different in each group. Results have shown an increased mortality (p < 0.05) among patients whose level of consciousness were more severely compromised, in those older than 50 years old, and in those harbouring quadrilateral, intraventricular or brainstem hematomas. Overall mortality was 26.1%.     

Effectiveness of influenza vaccination and its impact on health inequalities

BACKGROUND: Since 1998, annual publicly funded campaigns for mass vaccination against influenza of the population aged 65 years or older have been performed in the city of S?o Paulo, Brazil. The effectiveness of the intervention was not assessed for its contribution to the reduction of influenza-attributable mortality. This study sought to compare the age-specific mortality (65 years or older) before and after the onset of yearly vaccination, and to assess the impact of the intervention on health inequalities in relation to inner-city areas. METHODS: Official information on deaths and population allowed assessment of overall pneumonia and influenza mortality. Monitoring of outbreaks and the estimation of mortality attributable to influenza peaks used Serfling and ARIMA models. Rates were compared between 1998 and 2002, when vaccination coverage ranked higher than 60% among individuals aged 65 years or older, and 1993-97 (prior to vaccination). RESULTS: Overall mortality due to pneumonia and influenza fell by 26.3% after vaccination. An even higher reduction was observed for mortality specifically attributable to influenza epidemics; the number of peaks of influenza mortality also decreased. Deprived areas of the city had a higher decrease of mortality by pneumonia and influenza during the vaccination period. CONCLUSIONS: Influenza vaccination contributed to reduce influenza-attributable mortality in this age group, and was associated with the reduction of inequalities in the burden of the disease among social groups. The concurrent promotion of health and social justice is feasible when there is political will and commitment to implement public health interventions with prompt and effective universal access.