Estimates of disease incidence in women based on antenatal or neonatal seroprevalence data: HIV in new york city

Piecewise constant incidence models were developed to estimate the force of infection in women from age-and time-specific antenatal or neonatal seroprevalence data. Differential inclusion of infected women in sero-surveys compared to uninfected women was taken into account, with respect to both changes in inclusion rate following infection, and changes in relative inclusion rate over calendar time. These models were applied to anonymous HIV seroprevalence data collected from neonates born to black and Hispanic women in New York City 1988-1992, with incidence and fertility parameters estimated by maximum likelihood. Estimates of inclusion rate parameters accorded well with what is known about the natural history of HIV. The data could not distinguish between additive and multiplicative combination of the effects of age and time on incidence. Incidence was strongly dependent on age with the highest incidence in women aged 20-34 years. There was strong evidence that incidence had been falling in Hispanic women since 1982-1984. The results illustrate the extent to which trends in incidence over time may be confounded by changes in the relative inclusion rate of infected and uninfected women.     

Psychogenic pain: a study of marital adjustment

The marital adjustment of patients with psychogenic pain disorder was evaluated and compared with a matched group of patients with other neurotic disorders. Pain patients spouses were found to have better marital adjustment and less psychiatric morbidity than the spouses of neurotic patients. These findings are discussed in terms of the concepts of "sick role homeostasis" and "tertiary gain".     

Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in hospitals and the community: stealth dynamics and control catastrophes

Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) represents a serious threat to the health of hospitalized patients. Attempts to reduce the spread of MRSA have largely depended on hospital hygiene and patient isolation. These measures have met with mixed success: although some countries have almost eliminated MRSA or remained largely free of the organism, others have seen substantial increases despite rigorous control policies. We use a mathematical model to show how these increases can be explained by considering both hospital and community reservoirs of MRSA colonization. We show how the timing of the intervention, the level of resource provision, and chance combine to determine whether control measures succeed or fail. We find that even control measures able to repeatedly prevent sustained outbreaks in the short-term can result in long-term control failure resulting from gradual increases in the community reservoir. If resources do not scale with MRSA prevalence, isolation policies can fail "catastrophically."     

Lightning injuries

Lightning is persistently one of the leading causes of death caused by environmental or natural disaster. To understand the pathophysiology and treatment of lightning injuries one must first discount the innumerable myths, superstitions, and misconceptions surrounding lightning. The fundamental difference between high voltage electrical injury and lightning is the duration of exposure to current. Reverse triage should be instituted in lightning strike victims because victims in cardiopulmonary arrest might gain the greatest benefit from resuscitation efforts, although there is no good evidence suggesting that lightning strike victims might benefit from longer than usual resuscitation times. Many of the injuries suffered by lightning strike victims are unique to lightning, and long-term sequelae should be anticipated and addressed in the lightning victim.     

基于模块化思维的模糊ISODATA中医证候诊断方法

中医学面临在继承发扬传统的基础上探求现代化转变,中医诊断的科学化、规范化、标准化、定量化和精确性等问题变得更为迫切. 提出一种基于模块化思维并以模糊熵作为判断识别依据的模糊ISODATA中医证候诊断方法,以期在系统整理临床资料、古今资料及专家经验的基础上,模拟辨证诊治过程建立中医证候诊断方法. 该方法通过对IgA肾病的辩证分型为例,识别结果与中医辩证诊断的思维大致吻合. 该方法可用于典型疾病的中医辨证诊断,对于中医专家的经验积累和知识共享具有实际应用价值.     

Who is at risk of osteoporosis?

This contribution assesses who is at risk of osteoporosis, by delineating the key risk factors involved in the condition. Osteoporosis represents a major public health problem through its association with fragility fractures, primarily of the hip, spine and distal forearm. Some risk factors for fragility fracture act through bone mineral density (BMD), for example female gender, asian or Caucasian race, premature menopause, primary or secondary amenorrhoea, primary and secondary hypogonadism in men, prolongued immobilisation, low dietary calcium intake, vitamin D deficiency. However, a number of others contribute significantly to fracture risk over and above their association with BMD (age, high bone turnover, poor visual acuity, neuromuscular disorders, previous fragility fracture, glucocorticoid therapy, family history of hip fracture, low body weight, cigarette smoking, excess alcohol consumption).     

Carotid pressure is a better predictor of coronary artery disease severity than brachial pressure

The mechanisms relating pulse pressure to cardiovascular outcome may include surrogacy for coronary disease severity. Although pulse pressure is typically measured at the brachial artery, central pulse pressure and its principal determinant, large-artery stiffness, may relate more closely to disease severity. This study aimed to determine the relationships between large-artery stiffness and carotid and brachial blood pressures and coronary artery disease severity. One hundred fourteen male patients with coronary artery disease (age 60+/-8 years, mean+/-SD) and 57 age-matched healthy male controls (age 59+/-9 years) were recruited. Patients were classified into 2 groups based on the magnitude of their maximum coronary stenosis: moderate (50% to 89%) and severe (>/=90%). Large-artery stiffness was assessed as systemic arterial compliance and carotid-femoral pulse wave velocity. Mean pressure was not different between the 3 groups. Systemic compliance and carotid pulse pressure were significantly different between all 3 groups, with compliance lowest and pressure highest in the severe group (P<0.05). Pulse wave velocity was higher in patients with severe stenosis than in those with moderate stenosis (P<0.01) and those in the control group (P<0.001). Brachial pulse pressure was higher in patients than in controls (P<0.05), but there was no difference between the 2 disease groups. In separate multivariate analyses, carotid pressures and systemic arterial compliance were determinants of coronary artery disease severity, independent of age, smoking status, body mass index, mean arterial pressure, heart rate, cholesterol levels (total, LDL, and HDL), triglycerides, and beta-antagonist and lipid-lowering therapy (P<0.001), whereas brachial pressures and pulse wave velocity were not. In conclusion, central blood pressures and systemic arterial compliance are more sensitive markers of coronary artery disease severity than brachial pressures.