Sample size re-estimation for clinical trials with longitudinal negative binomial counts including time trends

In some diseases, such as multiple sclerosis, lesion counts obtained from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) are used as markers of disease progression. This leads to longitudinal, and typically overdispersed, count data outcomes in clinical trials. Models for such data invariably include a number of nuisance parameters, which can be difficult to specify at the planning stage, leading to considerable uncertainty in sample size specification. Consequently, blinded sample size re-estimation procedures are used, allowing for an adjustment of the sample size within an ongoing trial by estimating relevant nuisance parameters at an interim point, without compromising trial integrity. To date, the methods available for re-estimation have required an assumption that the mean count is time-constant within patients. We propose a new modeling approach that maintains the advantages of established procedures but allows for general underlying and treatment-specific time trends in the mean response. A simulation study is conducted to assess the effectiveness of blinded sample size re-estimation methods over fixed designs. Sample sizes attained through blinded sample size re-estimation procedures are shown to maintain the desired study power without inflating the Type I error rate and the procedure is demonstrated on MRI data from a recent study in multiple sclerosis.     

Tauchunfälle

Notfall + Rettungsmedizin - Tauchunfälle sind vergleichsweise selten und stellen (Erst‑)Helfer vor besondere Herausforderungen. Sie müssen schnell und kompetent behandelt werden, da...     

27-jähriger Reiserückkehrer mit hohem Fieber und septischem Schock im Verlauf

A 27-year-old man was admitted with high fever and shivers eleven days after returning from vacation in Indonesia. Physical examination, laboratory values, abdominal ultrasound, and chest x-ray were not conclusive. All blood cultures yielded growth of Salmonella enterica serovar Typhi, and typhoid fever was diagnosed. Subsequently, the patient developed septic shock and pulmonary edema.In this case report epidemiological, clinical, and therapeutic aspects of typhoid fever are discussed with special emphasis on criteria for severe typhoid fever, which is treated with additional glucocorticoids.