Using Wearable Biosensors to Predict Length of Stay for Patients with IBD After Bowel Surgery

Digestive Diseases and Sciences - It remains unknown whether ambulation or sleep predicts postoperative length of stay for patients with IBD. We aim to identify the utility of wearable biosensors...     

Features that may predict hospital admission following outpatient therapeutic ERCP

BACKGROUND: Some patients are admitted following outpatient therapeutic ERCP because of adverse events. This study aimed to identify factors that may predict such admissions. METHODS: We prospectively studied admissions for post-ERCP adverse events in 415 consecutive patients undergoing outpatient therapeutic ERCP. Potentially relevant predictors of admission were assessed by univariate analysis and in case of significance included in a multivariate analysis. RESULTS: Admission was necessary in 41 patients (9.9%) because of complications and in 63 (15.2%) for observation of adverse events that did not progress to definable complications. Potential predictors of admission were evaluated comparing patients who required more than an overnight admission (n = 63) with those who did not (n = 352). Multivariate analysis identified three factors that were significant: pain during the procedure (odds ratio 3.8: 95% CI [1.8, 7.9]), history of pancreatitis (odds ratio 2.3: 95% CI [1.1, 4.7]) and performance of sphincterotomy (odds ratio 2.2: 95% CI [1.1, 4.3]). The presence of all these features was associated with a 66.7% likelihood of admission, whereas the absence of pain during the procedure, history of pancreatitis and performance of sphincterotomy made admission likely in only 11.0%, 9.8% and 10.7%, respectively, of the cases. CONCLUSIONS: The occurrence of pain during the procedure, a history of pancreatitis and the performance of sphincterotomy were independent predictors of admission following outpatient therapeutic ERCP.     

Prevalence and predictors of severe acute pancreatitis in patients with acquired immune deficiency syndrome (AIDS)

OBJECTIVE: Recent case control data suggested that a severe course of acute pancreatitis in HIV+ patients was 1) common (50% of cases), 2) poorly predicted by Ranson's criteria (sensitivity 41%), and 3) accurately predicted by a diagnosis of AIDS (positive predictive value 67%). However, the definition of severity included length of stay in hospital and excluded commonly accepted markers (local complications, systemic complications, and need for surgery). The aim of this study was to determine 1) the prevalence of severity and 2) the value of these predictors with regard to severity, as defined by commonly accepted standardized criteria in patients with AIDS and acute pancreatitis. METHODS: A retrospective review identified 50 patients with AIDS exhibiting clinical, laboratory, and/or radiological features of acute pancreatitis. RESULTS: Only five patients followed a severe course as defined by accepted markers. Of these patients, 29 had values available for at least nine of 11 of Ranson's criteria (sensitivity 80%, specificity 54%). Points were awarded most commonly for decreased serum Ca2+ (n = 14) and elevated serum LDH (n = 7). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with AIDS and acute pancreatitis at our institutions, 1) the prevalence of severity and 2) the sensitivity of Ranson's criteria with regard to severity is comparable to that reported in large historical case series of immunocompetent patients. Pseudohypocalcemia and/or elevation in LDH are frequent, likely due to the catabolic infectious disease state.     

A gene for hereditary pancreatitis maps to chromosome 7q35

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hereditary pancreatitis (HP) is an autosomal- dominant disorder with incomplete penetrance characterized by recurrent bouts of severe epigastric pain with onset usually at 5-10 years of age. A genetic linkage study was designed to identify the HP gene. METHODS: A 500-member pedigree was constructed from a U.S. kindred centered in eastern Kentucky and western Virginia. A genome-wide search strategy was employed using a 36-member subset of this family to determine the genetic locus for HP. Testing for linkage to microsatellite loci was performed at 20-cM intervals. RESULTS: Linkage was established between the HP phenotype and chromosome 7q in this subset of the family. Modeled as an autosomal dominant disorder with 80% penetrance, a maximal multipoint logarithm of the odds score of 4.3 was obtained using a four-point analysis consisting of markers D7S684, D7S661, D7S505, and the HP locus. Two microsatellite markers, D7S661 and D7S505, that correspond to the 7q35 region of chromosome 7 spanning a 6-cM region did not evidence obligate recombinations with HP. The centromeric and telomeric limits are defined by recombinations at D7S684 and D7S483, respectively, which generates a 19-cM locus for HP. Utilizing family members from the extended pedigree, a break in the high-risk haplotype between D7S684 and D7S661 was observed, which suggests it may be possible to exclude an additional 8 cM from the HP locus. A maximal pairwise logarithm of the odds score of 4.73 at a recombination fraction of theta at D7S684 was obtained with the addition of these extended family members. CONCLUSIONS: Linkage of HP to 7q35 represents a major advancement in our understanding of the genetic basis of this disorder. (Gastroenterology 1996 Jun;110(6):1975-80)