Validation of PATHFx 2.0: An open-source tool for estimating survival in patients undergoing pathologic fracture fixation

Treatment decisions in patients with metastatic bone disease rely on accurate survival estimation. We developed the original PATHFx models using expensive, proprietary software and now seek to provide a more cost-effective solution. Using open-source machine learning software to create PATHFx version 2.0, we asked whether PATHFx 2.0 could be created using open-source methods and externally validated in two unique patient populations. The training set of a well-characterized, database records of 189 patients and the bnlearn package within R Version 3.5.1 (R Foundation for Statistical Computing), was used to establish a series of Bayesian belief network models designed to predict survival at 1, 3, 6, 12, 18, and 24 months. Each was externally validated in both a Scandinavian (n = 815 patients) and a Japanese (n = 261 patients) data set. Brier scores and receiver operating characteristic curves to assessed discriminatory ability. Decision curve analysis (DCA) evaluated whether models should be used clinically. DCA showed that the model should be used clinically at all time points in the Scandinavian data set. For the 1-month time point, DCA of the Japanese data set suggested to expect better outcomes assuming all patients will survive greater than 1 month. Brier scores for each curve demonstrate that the models are accurate at each time point. Statement of Clinical Significance: we successfully transitioned to PATHFx 2.0 using open-source software and externally validated it in two unique patient populations, which can be used as a cost-effective option to guide surgical decisions in patients with metastatic bone disease.     

Direct determination of benzalkonium chloride in ophthalmic systems by reversed-phase high-performance liquid chromatography

High-performance liquid chromatography has been used to quantitate benzalkonium chloride (alkylbenzyldimethylammonium chloride) in complex ophthalmic formulations at or below concentration levels of 50 ppm. The method involves a one-step dilution for sample preparation and direct injection; therefore, recovery and/or conversion problems are nonexistent. The assay is quick, specific, reproducible, and simple. This new approach makes routine determinations far simpler than previous methods and is especially useful for product stability studies and quality control procedures.     

SPECT follow-up of cerebral blood circulation after stroke]

rCBF SPECT investigations with 99mTc-HMPAO were performed in 22 completed ischemic stroke patients on average 2.5, 16.8 and 38.0 days after stroke onset. As control group, 12 neurologically healthy volunteers were examined with the same method. The overall sensitivity of the rCBF SPECT method in the detection of cerebral blood flow abnormalities was 91%, with a specificity of 83% and an accuracy of 88%. The rCBF study was highly effective, particularly in the acute phase of the disease. Regional increased tracer uptake or a false normal 99mTc-HMPAO distribution due to the developing hyperemia mostly complicated the rCBF image interpretations in the subacute period. In the chronic phase, the spatial resolution of the SPECT system limited the detection of the continuously retracted stroke lesions.     

Bb2Bb3 regulation of murine Lyme arthritis is distinct from Ncf1 and independent of the phagocyte nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate oxidase

Several quantitative trait loci regulating murine Lyme arthritis severity have been mapped, including a highly significant linkage found on chromosome 5, termed Bb2Bb3. Within this region, the Ncf1 gene of the phagocyte nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide phosphate (NADPH) oxidase has recently been identified as a major regulator of arthritis severity in rodent models of rheumatoid arthritis, an effect attributed to protective properties of reactive oxygen species. To assess the role of Ncf1 in Lyme arthritis, we introgressed Bb2Bb3 from severely arthritic C3H/He mice onto mildly arthritic C57BL/6 mice. This increased Lyme arthritis severity, whereas the reciprocal transfer conferred protection from disease. A single nucleotide polymorphism was identified in the Ncf1 gene that did not influence the protein sequence or expression of Ncf1. Although polymorphonuclear leukocytes from C57BL/6 mice generated a greater oxidative burst than polymorphonuclear leukocytes from C3H/He mice, studies with the Bb2Bb3 congenic mice demonstrated this difference was not linked to Ncf1 alleles. Furthermore, Lyme arthritis severity was not altered in mice lacking either the Ncf1 or Gp91phox subunits of the NADPH oxidase complex. Together, these results argue that Ncf1 is not a candidate gene for regulation of Lyme arthritis and reveal Lyme arthritis to be independent of NADPH oxidase activity, distinguishing it from other models of rheumatoid arthritis.     

CD8 expression on B cells in chronic lymphocytic leukemia: a case report and review of the literature

The expression of CD8, a restricted T-cell antigen, on B cells in B chronic lymphocytic leukemia is rare, and its significance, if any, remains unknown. We report herein a patient with B chronic lymphocytic leukemia in whom CD8 was strongly expressed on all B cells, both in the bone marrow and peripheral blood. The patient required no therapy for 6 years after being diagnosed as having B chronic lymphocytic leukemia. Then, when the disease progressed, he was treated with conventional doses of fludarabine phosphate (25 mg/m(2) daily for 5 days), but unlike other patients with B chronic lymphocytic leukemia he tolerated this therapy poorly. He received a total of only 4 series of fludarabine therapy, and following each course of treatment, he developed considerable myelosuppression. After the fourth course of therapy, his bone marrow failed to show any evidence of regeneration, and he died as a result of intercurrent respiratory tract infection 1 month after his last dose of fludarabine was given.     

IL-4-deficient mice develop less acute but more chronic relapsing collagen-induced arthritis

Rheumatoid arthritis as well as collagen-induced arthritis (CIA) is thought to involve T cell autoimmunity of the Th1 type and the Th2 cytokine IL-4 has been proposed to play a suppressive role. To exclude a possible skewing role of the mycobacteria used in the complete Freund's adjuvant (CFA) we induced CIA with type II collagen (CII) in incomplete Freund's adjuvant (IFA). Our results show that IL-4 deficiency leads to a lesser susceptibility to arthritis and lower B and T cell responses if induced with CII/IFA but not if induced with CII/CFA. In addition, IL-4-deficient mice were less susceptible to arthritis induced with monoclonal anti-CII antibodies. However, mice immunized with CII/IFA later developed a chronic relapsing disease, which was promoted by IL-4 deficiency. We conclude that IL-4 plays different roles depending on the type of adjuvant used and the phase (acute or chronic) of the clinical disease.     

Plasminogen activators in human malignant melanoma

Metastatic malignant melanomas from 16 patients, extracted with Triton X-100, were analyzed for plasminogen activator activity by azocaseinolysis . In 6 cases tumor explants were set up also in short-term organ culture, and the rate of plasminogen activator secretion into the culture medium was determined. Both the extractable activator content [8.66 +/- 7.8 "Committee on Thrombolytic Agents" (CTA) U/g tissue] and the activator secretion rates (0.90 +/- 1.6 CTA U/g/hr) were low in comparison with values for other human tumors. In addition to the activity, the type of plasminogen activator also was determined by immunoinhibition with goat antihuman urokinase antibody in the azocaseinolytic assay, as well as by sodium dodecyl sulfate (SDS) gel electrophoresis followed by zymography on fibrin-agar, in the presence and absence of antibody. On the average, 77% of the activator activity was of the urokinase type in the extracts, and 90% in the culture fluids. Immunoperoxidase reaction for the detection of urokinase showed this enzyme to be localized mainly in the cell membrane of the melanoma cells; stromal elements showed no specific staining. These results are of interest in view of the findings made recently by investigators in several laboratories that in all but one of the melanoma cell cultures derived from metastatic human tumors, only the vascular type ("tissue activator") was cell associated or was secreted into the culture medium. The possible reasons for this discrepancy are discussed.     

Assessing the consequences of quarantines during a pandemic

The European Journal of Health Economics - This paper analyzes the epidemiological and economic effects of quarantines. We use a basic epidemiological model, a SEIR-model, that is calibrated to...     

The major T cell epitope on type II collagen is glycosylated in normal cartilage but modified by arthritis in both rats and humans

Type II collagen (CII) is a target for autoreactive T cells in both rheumatoid arthritis and the murine model collagen-induced arthritis. The determinant core of CII has been identified as CII260-270, and the alteration of this T cell epitope by posttranslational modifications is known to be critical for development of arthritis in mice. Using CII-specific T cell hybridomas we have now shown that the immunodominant T cell epitope in the normal (healthy) human and rat joint cartilage is O-glycosylated at the critical T cell receptor recognition position 264 with a mono- or di-saccharide attached to a hydroxylysine. In contrast, in the arthritic human and rat joint cartilage there are both glycosylated and non-glycosylated CII forms. Glycosylated CII from normal cartilage could not be recognized by T cells reactive to peptides having only lysine or hydroxylysine at position 264, showing that antigen-presenting cells could not degrade the O-linked carbohydrate. Thus, the variable forms of the glycosylated epitope are determined by the structures present in cartilage, and these vary during the disease course. We conclude that the chondrocyte determines the structures presented to the immune system and that these structures are different in normal versus arthritic states.