PREDICT-GTN 1: Can we improve the FIGO scoring system in gestational trophoblastic neoplasia?

Gestational trophoblastic neoplasia (GTN) patients are treated according to the eight-variable International Federation of Gynaecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) scoring system, that aims to predict first-line single-agent chemotherapy resistance. FIGO is imperfect with one-third of low-risk patients developing disease resistance to first-line single-agent chemotherapy. We aimed to generate simplified models that improve upon FIGO. Logistic regression (LR) and multilayer perceptron (MLP) modelling (n = 4191) generated six models (M1-6). M1, all eight FIGO variables (scored data); M2, all eight FIGO variables (scored and raw data); M3, nonimaging variables (scored data); M4, nonimaging variables (scored and raw data); M5, imaging variables (scored data); and M6, pretreatment hCG (raw data) + imaging variables (scored data). Performance was compared to FIGO using true and false positive rates, positive and negative predictive values, diagnostic odds ratio, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, Bland-Altman calibration plots, decision curve analysis and contingency tables. M1-6 were calibrated and outperformed FIGO on true positive rate and positive predictive value. Using LR and MLP, M1, M2 and M4 generated small improvements to the ROC curve and decision curve analysis. M3, M5 and M6 matched FIGO or performed less well. Compared to FIGO, most (excluding LR M4 and MLP M5) had significant discordance in patient classification (McNemar's test P < .05); 55-112 undertreated, 46-206 overtreated. Statistical modelling yielded only small gains over FIGO performance, arising through recategorisation of treatment-resistant patients, with a significant proportion of under/overtreatment as the available data have been used a priori to allocate primary chemotherapy. Streamlining FIGO should now be the focus.     

Chronische Transplantatdysfunktion

Chronic transplant dysfunction is a complex dynamic pathogenic process. Clinically, a decrease in glomerular filtration rate (GFR) becomes apparent leading to chronic renal insufficiency and dialysis or death from cardiovascular events. Chronic transplant dysfunction can develop into a chronic alIograft nephropathy (CAN) as a specific entity with dynamic progression. CAN includes a collection of immunologic and non-immunologic factors, rejection, ischemia time, donor and recipient characteristics and toxicity of calcineurin inhibitors. Despite improvements in immunosuppression, the long-range prognosis of renal allografts has not improved. Whether modern immunosuppressive concepts with reduction or avoidance of calcineurin inhibitors and a therapy based on antimetabolites, such as mycophenolate or mTOR-inhibitors could lead to a prolongation of transplant survival, remains to be seen.     

10对联体双胎分离术后的远期结果

背景／目的：从1978-2000年，有10对联体双胞胎成功接受了手术分离，结果14人存活。其中6对是因为他们的联体同胞死亡或濒临死亡而接受紧急分离手术。剩余的4对，每对至少一个同胞接受至少一次的急诊手术后，才接受联体分离手术。方法：对这一独特的队列进行包含6个项目的问卷调查。问题的设计是开放式的，为父母／家庭提供有关信息的最大机会。对每个家庭就相同的问题也进行了当面的问卷调查。医师询问了与身体健康和疾病相关的一些问题。而社会工作询问了与发育、教育、社会心理和家庭功能相关的问题。结果：前面提及的14人存活的双胞胎中，4人大学毕业，1人于1981年完成中学学业，剩余9人正在上学。14人在最初的手术后，还需要接受再次手术，尤其是需要矫正泌尿系统、畸形、神经外科和小儿外科的问题。结论：通过超声检查对联体双胎进行宫内诊断，可以使医师和胎儿父母在孕早期决定在终止妊娠时是进行双胎分离还是保全其中一个。这些病例报道通过描述14例手术存活的长期体格检查和心理学检查结果，为医师和父母在关键时刻做出决定提供了另外有助的依据。